Hi folks,
Well the first Super Sunday match is Bolton Vs Chelsea.
Bolton started the season so well, beating QPR, but since that opening fixture they have lost the next 5 matches. However, they were against top teams.
Lets look at some stats.
Looking at the early form the success rate for the home side is 8%.
This equates to a 2% chance of a Bolton win and a 18% chance of a draw and a 80% chance of a Chelsea win.
The goal expectancy for the match is 3.39.
The chance of no goals in the match is 2.2%
The chance of the home team scoring first is 15.4%
The last 6 games is as follows:-
Bolton have won 1, scoring 8 goals and conceding 16, with 1 clean sheets. They have lost 5. 100% of their games have been over 2.5 goals.
Chelsea have won 4 out of their last 6 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding 7, with 1 clean sheet. They have lost 1. 83.33% of their games have been over 2.5 goals.
Bolton have conceded 2 or more goals in the last 6 matches. Bolton have only scored 1 goals in the last 3 matches. Bolton conceded 10 goals in their 3 home matches. Chelsea have scored 7 in their last 3 matches.
H2H's
In the 24 Premier league matches between the two clubs, Bolton have won 3, Chelsea have won 16 and there has been 5 draws.
At Bolton, in 12 matches there has been 2 Bolton wins and 8 Chelsea wins with 2 draws. Chelsea have won the last 8 at Bolton and Bolton has not scored in the last 8 years.
0-0:- There has only been 1 0-0 in the first 12 matches of the season these two teams have played in and that was Stoke Vs Chelsea. There have been no 0-0 between the two teams in 24 premiership matches.
I just can't see Chelsea losing this one, so I will be laying the draw. Bolton's terrible run of 5 defeats, will not end today. I will also look at laying under 2.5 goals.
Happy Trading
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