Sunday, 2 October 2011

Bolton Vs Chelsea

Hi folks,

Well the first Super Sunday match is Bolton Vs Chelsea.

Bolton started the season so well, beating QPR, but since that opening fixture they have lost the next 5 matches. However, they were against top teams.

Lets look at some stats.

Looking at the early form the success rate for the home side is 8%.
This equates to a 2% chance of a Bolton win and a 18% chance of a draw and a 80% chance of a Chelsea win.
The goal expectancy for the match is 3.39.
The chance of no goals in the match is 2.2%
The chance of the home team scoring first is 15.4%

The last 6 games is as follows:-
Bolton have won 1, scoring 8 goals and conceding 16, with 1 clean sheets. They have lost 5. 100% of their games have been over 2.5 goals.

Chelsea have won 4 out of their last 6 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding 7, with 1 clean sheet. They have lost 1. 83.33% of their games have been over 2.5 goals.

Bolton have conceded 2 or more goals in the last 6 matches. Bolton have only scored 1 goals in the last 3 matches. Bolton conceded 10 goals in their 3 home matches. Chelsea have scored 7 in their last 3 matches.

H2H's

In the 24 Premier league matches between the two clubs, Bolton have won 3, Chelsea have won 16 and there has been 5 draws.

At Bolton, in 12 matches there has been 2 Bolton wins and 8 Chelsea wins with 2 draws. Chelsea have won the last 8 at Bolton and Bolton has not scored in the last 8 years.

0-0:- There has only been 1 0-0 in the first 12 matches of the season these two teams have played in and that was Stoke Vs Chelsea. There have been no 0-0 between the two teams in 24 premiership matches.

I just can't see Chelsea losing this one, so I will be laying the draw. Bolton's terrible run of 5 defeats, will not end today. I will also look at laying under 2.5 goals.

Happy Trading

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