Saturday, 3 September 2016

Where to start (Day 4 Horse Trading - Friday)

Morning Folks,

Well yesterday can only be described as a disaster. I think also, looking back, it was extermely frustrating. I lost big yesterday as I made one stupid mistake and then tried to chase the lose. Believe it or not I didn't even go into play.

The first 4 races of the day, no problem, I traded really well. Then I traded the 14:45 at Haydock Park. It was a 6f Maiden stakes and Frankie Dettori was the favouirte , I was trading on the second favourite. I gained a couple of ticks and then went back into a second trade with about 3 minutes to go and yes, you guested it the trade went against me quickly. However, I didn;t painc I tried to hedge out for £1 loss, but the money went through that before I had time to hedge out. When the odds stopped I was looking at a £5 loss. The odds then bounced back up slightly and I thought the odds would come back as people were backing Dettori, so I stayed in, big mistake. Then as the horses were loading up Dettori's horse started refusing and playing up!!! Well that just hurt me even more and during the delay to the start of the race, more and more people starting backing the second favourite and just before the start of the race I was £18 down. The only good point, was I did hedged out, finally and did not go in-play!!!!!

I was annoyed and frustrated with myself, and I know at this point many people have said you should take a break, but I didn't and I proceeded to start doing stupid straight betting on horses to try and make the money back......why, I have never done that before!!!!

A few races later and I had lost around £75 down!!!!

I then gave myself a good talking too and then tried to knuckled down and get back to it and traded beautifully for the rest of the day....Arghhhhhh why could I not do that all day.

Could it have been overconfidence after two good days of trading, before yesterday. Well it was a serious kick up the arse.

Day 3 trading the horses (Wednesday)

H Folks

Well today (Wednesday) was another good day were I managed to keep my discipline and not go into play. I only managed one small loss and obeyed my stop loss.

Happy Trading

Wednesday, 31 August 2016

Trading the Horses day 1 & 2

Hi Folks,

I am going to try and record my ramblings on here as I trade the horses. I am using £5 stakes to start off with. The first day did not start well. A maiden stakes race went against me very rapidly and I did not hedge out. Instead I let it go in play and I lost a decent chunk of money. I  need to start focussing on protecting my bank, not on how much I can make. If you execute trades correctly that should take care of itself.

Anyway I managed to clear my head and traded well for a good few races. Then I had a small lose later in the day, although I should of hedged out quicker but my reactions were too slow. Then at the end of the day when a trade went against me again I let it go in-play. This time I got away with it.

Day 2 was a lot better, I was more focussed, maybe it was because I got up early went for a run and had my lunch before I sat down to trade. I did not go into play once and only had one lose. Overall, alot better. Just need to keep that going.

Happy Trading Folks

Monday, 29 August 2016

Long Time No See!!!

Morning folks,

Sorry I have not posted since March, a lot of things have been going on. Firstly there was a redundancy campaign at work, which I fortunately survived. Also I have taken on a new role at work now working shifts. I have been in the role for a couple of months and I am settling nicely. I am know hoping that I will be able to get some more serious trading done, particularly in the horse markets. With the new shifts I work 4 days and then I am off for 4 days. So I am hoping to try and crack the horse markets once and for all. I will still be doing the football when I can, and I will try and still post my betting selections this year as well.

Happy Trading folks

Sunday, 20 March 2016

Betting Selections (Sunday)

Hi Folks,

Well a mixed bag with selections yesterday, with the draws doing well, but the others not so well. I ended the day 1.2pts down.

Here are today's selection


 Man City Vs Man Utd
Newcastle Vs Sunderland
Spurs Vs Bournemouth


Groningen Vs Vitesse
PSG Vs Monaco
Stuttgart Vs Leverkusen
Sampdoria Vs Chievo


Twente Vs Alkmaar
Napoli Vs Genoa
Newcastle Vs Sunderland

Saturday, 19 March 2016

Betting Selections (Saturday)

Hi Folks,

After a good start to the season the betting selections dipped off. It is still in profit, but only a small one.

Here is the picks for today

Home Wins

Derby Vs Nottingham Forest
Ipswich Vs Rotherham
Lille Vs Toulouse
Reims Vs Guingamp
Crystal Palace Vs Leicester
Everton Vs Arsenal
Sociedad Vs Las Palmas


Brentford Vs Blackburn
MK Dons Vs Brighton
Reading Vs Cardiff
Birmingham Vs Fulham
Werder Bremen Vs Mainz

Away Wins

Angers Vs Lorient
Swansea Vs Aston Villa
Granada Vs Vallecano

Thursday, 17 March 2016

Man Utd Vs Liverpool

Hi Folks,

Sorry it has been a while. I have been reallu busy with work, so I have not done much trading this year. Anyway lets have a look at tonight's match between Man Utd and Liverpool. Liverpool won the first leg 2-0 at Anfield and but for De Gea, the Man Utd goalkeeper, the tie would have been over. However, with Liverpools poor record at Man Utd, this could be an interesting match.

Man Utd - 2.8
Liverpool - 3.0
Draw - 3.35

There is value in LTD in this one @3.4. I think the price should be around 9.1

The last 10H2H's at Old Trafford have yielded no draws, 8 Man Utd wins and 2 Liverpool wins.

Man Utd have won 16 of their last 25 home matches. Liverpool have won 11 of their last 25 away matches.

In the last 12 home matches Man Utd have scored 1.50gpg, conceded 0.58gpg. They have kept 7/12 clean sheets and scored in 8/12

In the last 12 away matches Liverpool have scored 1.83gpg, conceded 1.42gpg. They have kept 3/12 clean sheets and scored in 7/12

Man Utd are on top in terms of the stats.

There is a 80% chance of 1 or more goals
There is a 62% chance of over 1.5 goals.
There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals.

For this match I will LTD from the start and I may also have a small lay on Liverpool in the 'To Qualify' market, as I think 1.14 is a bit short

Happy Trading