QPR Vs Chelsea

Hi Folks,

I had a mixed bag yesterday, I won 3 out of 5 trades. So I lost £6.14 for the day.

I have got a badminton tournament today, so hopefully I will be back for the 4pm kick-off

QPR Vs Chelsea

I have the success rate for this match as 20%. This equates to a 8% chance of a QPR win, 24% chance of a draw and 68% Chelsea
The goal expectancy is 2.88
%0 Goals is 5.8%
%Home team will score 1st is 24%

So if we look at the last 6 matches. QPR have won 2, scoring 5 and conceding 10, with 2 clean sheets. They have lost 3 matches. 33.3% of their matches have been over 2.5 goals. Chelsea have won 5, scoring 18 goals and conceding 8, with 0 clean sheets. They have lost 1 match, against Man United. All their matches have been over 2.5 goals.

0-0's Each team has had 1 0-0 this season. So total of 2 0-0's in 16 matches

H2H's They last played a league match back in 1995/1996 season. They played 8 league matches. Chelsea won 4, draws 3 and QPR 1. At QPR, there have been 1 Chelsea win, 2 draws and 1 QPR win.

At home this season QPR have won 0 and have only scored 2 goals, but have only conceded 6. However, their 4 home games were against Bolton, Newcastle, Aston Villa and Blackburn. Apart from the Bolton match they created lots of chances but did not take them against far poorer opposition than Chelsea. At this level you have got to take your chances or you get punished.

Chelsea have won 2 of their 4 away games, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They have lost 1 game against Man United and drew against Stoke.

Chelsea should have far too much firepower today, although they can be a bit suspect at the back, they have only kept 1 clean sheet away from home this season. However, I think I will lay the draw in this one, I think I will also lay under 2.5 goals, as QPR might nick 1 goal. I think it will be 2-1 or 3-1 to Chelsea.

Happy Trading

UPDATE:- Well I am glad I did not get chance to trade this one, I got it completely wrong, I did not get back from the badminton tournament until about 6pm.