Sunday, 25 March 2012


This Dutch fixture pits Graafschap, who are bottom of the league against Feyenoord, who are 5th.  Feyenoord still have an outside chance of winning the title, whilst Graafschap are fighting to avoid the drop. Let’s have a look at the stats.

League form
·         Looking at the last 10 matches, Graafschap have won only 1 and drawn 1 and lost 8. They have lost the last 4 matches.
·         Looking at the last 10 matches, Feyenoord have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 (PSV and VVV Venlo). They are undefeated in the last 3 matches.
·         Graafschap’s last 6 matches have yielded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses. They have scored 4 goals (0.67gpg) and conceded 11 goals (1.83gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 3 of the 6 matches.
·         Feyenoord’s last 6 matches have yielded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. They have scored 10 goals (1.67gpg) and conceded 6 goals (1gpg). They have kept 2 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
·         Graafschap’s last 6 home matches have yielded 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses. They have scored 4 goals (0.67gpg) and conceded 15 goals (2.5gpg). They have kept 0 clean sheets and scored in 4 of the 6 matches.
·         Feyenoord’s last 6 away matches have yielded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. They have scored 11 goals (1.83gpg) and conceded 8 goals (1.33gpg). They have kept 2 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
H2H’s
·         In the last 11 meetings, Feyenoord have won 7 of the 11 matches. Graafschap have only won 2.
·         The last 5 Graafschap home matches have yielded 5 Feyenoord wins.
·         6 of the last 11 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
·         10 of the last 11 matches have been over 1.5 goals.
·         3 of the last 5 home H2H’s for Graafschap have been over 2.5 goals.
·         5 of the last 5 home H2H’s for Graafschap have been over 1.5 goals.
General Stats
·         Both teams score in 61% of Graafschap home matches. Both teams score in 61% of Feyenoord’s away matches.
·         Graafschap score 1st in 46% of their home matches. Feyenoord score 1st in 62% of their away matches.
·         69% of Graafschap’s home matches contain over 1.5 goals in the 1st half. 77% of Feynoord’s away matches contain over 1.5 goals in the 1st half.
·         A goal has been scored in every Graafschap’s home games and a goal has been scored in every Feyenoord away matches.
·         A goal is scored in the 1st half in 69% of Graafschap’s home matches. A goal is scored in the 1st half in 69% of Feyenoord’s away matches.
·         A goal is scored in the 2nd half in 92% of Graafschap’s home matches. A goal is scored in the 2nd half in 92% of Feynoord’s away matches.
·         Graafschap have scored in 70% of their home matches. Feyenoord have scored in 92% of their away matches.
·         Graafschap have scored in the 1st half of their home matches 54% of the time. Feyenoord have scored in the 1st half of their away matches 46% of the time.
·         Graafschap have scored in the 2nd half of their home matches 23% of the time. Feyenoord have scored in the 2nd half of their away matches 77% of the time.
·         42% of the time there is a goal in the 1st 15mins in Graafschap’s home matches and Feyenoord’s away matches.
·         92% of Graafschap’s home matches have the 1st goal before 68mins. 100% of Feyenoord’s away matches have the 1st goal before 68mins.
·         46% of the time Graafschap score the 1st goal at home before 68mins. 61% of the time Feyenoord score the 1st goal away from home before 68mins.
·         46% of the time Graafshcap are leading before 68mins at home. 70% of the time Feyenoord are leading before 68mins away.
·         42% of the time there is a goal in the last 15mins when Graafschap play at home and Feyenoord play away.
·         All of Graafschap’s home games have 1 goal or more. All of Feyenoord’s away matches have 1 goal or more.
·         85% of Graafschap’s home games have over 1.5 goals. 100% of Feyenoord’s away matches have over 1.5 goals.
·         70% of Graafschap’s home games have over 2.5 goals. 62% of Feyenoord’s away matches have over 2.5 goals.

Verdict:- The stats suggest a Feyenoord win, or that they will be ahead in the match at some point. The stats, also suggest there could be goals in the match, possibly even early goals. Also looking at the last 15 mins for a goal could be profitable.

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