17th August 2013 Part 1

Hi folks,

Quite a few matches to have a look at today.

Arsenal Vs Aston Villa

 

 Arsenal odds on. Stats look good for Arsenal, although a couple of stats are in Villa's favour. But looking at H Vs A form in the last 6 and the attack and defense data; Arsenal should win this. Goal expectancy=3.01. Other stats suggest 2-3 goals. 7/10 H2H's over 2.5 goals. LTD from the start. Lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 @20-22 mins.

Swansea Vs Man Utd

 Man Utd are almost odds on. All the stats, apart from goals conceded and clean sheets are in Man Utd's favour. H2H's do not look good for Swansea. However, they have only lost 1 in last 5 at home to Man Utd. They drew 1-1 last season . Goal expectancy is 2.96. Other stats suggest 2-3 goals. 4/10 of the last H2H's are over 2.5 goals and 7/10 are over 1.5 goals. 2 goals looks likely. I will LTD from the start, if Swansea score 1st I will hedge and lay them. Also I will lay under 1.5 goals @40mins if 0-0

Stuttgart Vs Leverkusen

 

 Leverkusen favourites but not quite odds on. Last 10 H2H's Leverkusen have won 6/10, 2 draws and 2 wins for Stuttgart. At home stuttgart have only won 1/5. 8/10 over 2.5 goals and 9/10 over 1.5 goals. Goal expectancy is 2.75. Other stats suggest 2-4 goals. LTD from the start even though odds not quite odds on. Lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 @20-22mins