Saturday 10th August 2013

Hi folks,

Quite a few matches to get through today; here are my thoughts.

LTD from the start

Brighton Vs Derby

 

 Stats are fairly conclusive; pointing to Brighton being the better team, particularly at home. I will LTD from the start. Goal expectancy is 2.82. H2H's last 10 have been 2.3 gpg. Other stats suggest 2-3 goals. Lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 after 20-25mins.

Before the start of the match Brighton's odds have drifted out. So not odds on no. Teams even. So I will LTD HT if 0-0 or 1-1

Augsburg Vs Dortmund

 

 Dortmund odds on here. Attacking stats are in Dortmunds favour; but defensive stats are in Augsburg favour. H2H's in Dortmund's favour. Goal expectancy is 3.01. Other stats suggest 2-3 goals, with 3 goals being likely. 3/4 H2H's have been over 2.5 goals. I will LTD from the start and also look to lay under 2.5 goals after 20-25mins.

Leverkusen Vs Freiburg

 All the stats are in Leverkusen's favour. Goal Expectancy is 2.85. Other stats suggest anywhere between 1 to 3 goals. Should be at least 2. I will LTD from the stats and lay under 2.5 goals after 20-25mins if 0-0


There is one more match on later tonight, but I don't know if I can trade these as I may be out. I will put the stats up anyway

Lille Vs Lorient

 Lille are odds on. Most of the stats are in Lille's favour. Goal expectancy is 2.89. Other stats suggest 2-3 goals. LTD from the start and lay under 1.5 goals after 40mins.

Other matches

There are several other matches I will look to trade but not from the start

Blackburn Vs Nottingham - LTD HT if  0-0
Bolton Vs Reading - LTD HT if 0-0 or 1-1. Also lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 after 20-25mins
Charlton Vs Middlesbrough - LTD HT if 0-0 or 1-1. Lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 after 20-25mins
Huddersfield Vs QPR - LTD HT if 0-0. Lay under 1.5 goals after 40mins if 0-0
Ispwich Vs Millwall - LTD HT if 0-0. Lay under 1.5 goals after 40mins if 0-0
Sheff Wed Vs Burnley - LTD HT if 0-0. Lay under 1.5 goals
Hannover Vs Wolfsburg - LTD at HT if 0-0 or 1-1. lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 after 20-25mins
Hoffenheim Vs Nurnberg - LTD HT if 0-0 or 1-1. Lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 after 20-25mins
Evian TG Vs Sochaux - LTD HT if 0-0 or 1-1. Lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 after 20-25mins
Lyon Vs Nice - Lay under 2.5 goals if 0-0 after 20-25mins
Valenciennes Vs Toulouse - LTD HT if 0-0. Lay under 1.5 goals after 40mins
Heracles Vs Zwolle - Lay under 2.5 goals after 20-25mins if 0-0
Breda Vs Heerenveen - LTD HT if 0-0. Lay under 1.5 goals if 0-0 at 40mins.