Back in the Saddle

Hi Folks,

Well we just have to forget the past and keep going. There are a few matches today with value:-

Chelsea Vs Schalke

Chelsea have won 11/12 home matches, drawn 1 and lost 0
Schalke have won 7/12 away matches, drawn 1 and lost 4
True odds:- Chelsea 1.6, Draw 12.0, Schalke 3.42

Graded analysis:- Chelsea have won 3/7 home matches, drawn 2 and lost 2. Schalke have won 2/6 away matches, drawn 0 and lost 4.
True odds:- Chelsea 1.85, Draw 6.67, Schalke 3.23

So there does appear to be value in LTD as LTD odds are 4.7

1st half goals:- I will lay the 0-0 HT score as there does appear to be value here
2nd half goals:- I will lay the HT score if less than 4.5

Dortmund Vs Arsenal

Dortmund have won 10/12 home matches, drawn 1 and lost 1
Arsenal have won 10/12 away matches, drawn 1 and lost 1
True odds:- Dortmund 2.17, Draw 12.0, Arsenal 2.17

Graded analysis:- Dortmund have won 4/6 home matches, drawn 1 and lost 1. Arsenal have won 1/6 away matches, drawn 1 and lost 4
True odds:- Dortmund 1.50, Draw 6.0, Arsenal 6.0

So there does appear to be value in LTD as LTD odds are 4.4

I can't find any value in 1st half or 2nd half goals