Derby Vs Chelsea

Derby Vs Chelsea

Derby's last 18 matches read W10D4L4. They have scored in 16/18 matches and conceded in 15/18 matches. They have scored 37 goals and conceded 23 goals.
Chelsea's last 18 matches read W11D4L3. They have scored in 14/18 matches and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 34 goals and conceded 18 goals.
Derby have won 4 of the last 6 matches, drawing 1 and lost 1
At home this season derby have been average W5D3L4
Chelsea have won 4 of the last 6 matches, drawing 1 and lost 1
Away this season Chelsea have been average W4D3L3
Derby's last 12 matches at home read W5D3L4. They have scored in 9/12 matches and conceded in 11/12 matches. They scored 23 goals and conceded 18 goals
Chelsea's last 12 away matches read W6D3L3. They have scored in 8/12 matches and conceded in 7/12 matches. They scored 19 goals and conceded 12 goals

The last 10H2H's read H1D2A7
At Derby H1D2A2
Since 1996/1997 there have been 14 matches and only 2 draws (14%) and 2 draws out of 7 at Derby (29%?)
Chelsea have won 10 of the 14 matches.

LTD is slightly high on this one. Chelsea should win this one even resting players, as they have a great squad. Derby are going well, but they do concede goals and only have an average record at home this season.

I will LTD if I can get 4.0

I will also lay the HT score if I can get odds less than 5.0

Overs and unders offer no value