Hull Vs Chelsea

Hull's last 18 matches read W5D5L8. They have scored in 11/18 matches and conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 23 goals
Chelsea's last 18 matches read W11D4L3. They have scored in 14/18 matches and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 34 goals and conceded 18 goals.
Hull's have won 1 of the last 6 matches, drawing 3 and losing 2
Chelsea's have won 4 of the last 6 matches, drawing 1 and losing 1.
Hull have the 6th best home record in the league
Chelsea have the 5th best away record in the league
Hull's last 10 home matches read W5D3L2. They have scored in 7/10 matches and conceded in 4/10 matches. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 6 goals.
Chelsea's last 12 away matches read W6D3L3. They have scored in 8/12 mathces and conceded 7/12 matches. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 12 goals

The last 5H2H's  read H0D2A3
At Hull H0D1A1

There is no value in LTD or backing Chelsea. There is value in backing Hull, and they have got a decent home record and a good defence. However, they have only posted 1 win in the last 6. They are hard to beat at home and have beaten Liverpool and only lost 2 at home this season. However, I just can;t see them beating Chelsea.

HT/FT Scores:- No Value

Over/under:- Looking at the stats here there does appear to be some value in backing under 2.5 goals. There was a concern that up to 9 players could be out for Hull today with a bug. However, the team news has just been announced and there is only one change.

I will back under 2.5 goals @1.87 for £11.60. I will look to hedge out at 1.2 again. If an early goal I will back under 2.5 goals again for £11.60 and look to hedge at HT. If there is a second goal I will hedge out for a loss.

The trade worked well and I hedged out @1.21 for a profit of £6.01