Liverpool's last 18 matches read W10D3L5. They have scored in 16/18 and conceded 15/18 matches. They have scored 48 goals and conceded 26 goals.
Aston Villa's last 18 matches read W5D5L8. They have scored in 10/18 and conceded 12/18 matches. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 23 goals.
Liverpool have won 4 of the last 6, with 2 losses (Chelsea and Man City away)
Aston Villa have won 1 of the last 6, with 1 draw and 4 losses.
Liverpool at home this season reads W9D0L1. They have won the last 4 and have the 3rd best home record in the league.
Aston Villa away this season reads W4D3L3. They have won 2 of the last 4 (W1L2W1)
Liverpool's last 12 home matches read W10D1L1. They have scored in 10/12 and conceded in 6/12 matches. They have scored 28 goals and conceded 6 goals.
Aston Villa's last 12 away matches read W5D4L3. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 8/12 matches. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 14 goals.
The last 11H2H's reads H6D2A3 (18% Draws)
At Anfield H2D1A2 (20% Draws)
Since 2000/2001 H16D7A4 (26% Draws)
At Anfield H7D3A3 (23% Draws)
The graded analysis for Liverpool reads W9D4L3. They have scored in 13/17 and conceded in 10/17 matches. They have scored 35 goals and conceded 12 goals.
The graded analysis for Aston Villa reads W1D4L2. They have scored in 5/7 and conceded in 7/7 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 12 goals.
There is no value here in LTD. However, with Liverpool's recent form against Aston Villa, particularly at Anfield is not great. There is a bit of value in laying Liverpool. I might take this one on, but just for a small trade.
I will lay Liverpool @1.23 for £22 (Liability £5.06)
HT/FT Score:- No Value
Over/Under:- No Value
The trade worked well as Liverpool were poor in the first half and as expected Aston Villa were causing all sorts of problems on the counter attack. I hedged out when they went 1-0 up. I think I should of stayed in for a bit longer as Villa went 2-0 up.
I made a profit of £7.72. However, I then reinvested my profit when it was 2-2 as Liverpool were on top. So no profit in this one
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