Udinese Vs Lazio

Hi Folks,

Well yesteryda was one of those days were everything went wrong. I analysed my trades last night, wondering if I did anything wrong. There was maybe two trades that I should not of done, but nothing blatantly obvious. So here we go again.

Udinese Vs Lazio

Udinese last 18 matches read W6D2L10. They have scored in 11/18 and conceded in 15/18 matches. They have scored 18 goals and conceded 25 goals.
Lazio last 18 matches read W5D6L7. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 26 goals.
Udineses have won only 1 of the last 6 matches, drawing 1 and losing 4.
Lazio have won 2 of the last 6 matches, drawing 1 and losing 3
Udinese this season at home read W4D1L4. They only have 1 in in the last 4 at home and have lost the other 3.
Lazio this season away read W0D4L5. They have no wins in the last 4 away, with 2 draws and 2 losses.
Udinese's last 12 home matches read W7D1L4. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 8/12 matches. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 13 goals.
Lazio' last 12 away matches read W1D5L6. They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 11/12 matches. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 20 goals.

The last 11H2H's read H4D3A4 (27% Draws)
At Udinese H3D2A0 (40% Draws)
Since 2000/2001 H9D6A12 (22% Draws)
At Udinese H6D3A4 (21% Draws)
The last time Lazio won at Udinese was in 2006/2007

The graded analysis for Udinese reads W4D3L1. They have scored in 6/8 and conceded in 3/8 matches. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 4 goals.
The graded analysis for Lazio reads W1D2L4. They have scored in 2/7 and conceded in 6/7 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 11 goals.

There is value in LTD here, but there is no real clear cut favourite. Udinese are slightly ahead in the stats, but have only won 1 of the last 4 at home and Lazio have won 0 away from home this season, and only 1 win against 'B' graded sides in the last 7. Also they have not won at Udinese since 2006/2007 season. There is value in laying Lazio so that is what I will do

Lay Lazio @3.4 for £4.38

HT/FT Score:- There is value in backing the HT Score if less than 5.0. So I will wait and see what that looks like

Overs/Unders:- No Value

Well both trades worked successfully. I hedged out of the Udinese Vs Lazio match when Udinese took the lead. I then layed the HT score and won when Lazio levelled.

So total profit for the match was £6.60