Chelsea Vs Everton

Hi folks,

I have not posted very much recently as I have been busy with work. Anyway lets have a look at the early kick-off today between Chelsea and Everton

Chelsea's last 18 matches read (W12D4L2). They have scored in 15/18 and conceded in 10/18. They have scored 34 goals and conceded 16 goals.
Everton's last 18 matches read  (W9D6L3). They have scored in 13/18 and conceded in 12/18. They have scored 27 goals and conceded 17 goals.
Chelsea have won 4 of their last 6 matches, drawing the other 2.
Everton have won 2 of their last 6 matches, drawing 2 and losing 2
Chelsea have the best home record in the league this season.
Chelsea's last 12 home matches reads (W10D2L0). They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 8/12. They have scored 26 goals and conceded 9 goals.
Everton's last 12 away matches read (W4D5L3). They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 8/12. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 14 goals.

The last 11H2H's read H3D4A4 (36% Draws)
At Stamford Bridge we have H2D3A0 (60% Draws)

Since 2000/2001 season the H2H's read H13D9A5 (33% Draws)
At Stamford Bridge since 2000/2001 the H2H's read H7D6A0 (46% Draws)

The graded analysis for Chelsea reads (W5D3L2). They have scored in 9/10 and conceded in 7/10. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 11 goals.
The graded analysis for Everton reads (W1D4L6). They have scored in 7/11 and conceded in 9/11. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 19 goals.

There is no value in backing Chelsea. There is a bit of value in laying them, but with their home record I can't.There is value in backing Everton, but again with their away current form and their record at Stamford Bridge, I can't
There is value in backing the draw which I am tempted to take on. I might risk a small back on the draw.

I will back the draw for £4 at 4.1 and look to exit at 2.0

There also appears to be a bit of value in over 2.5 goals.

Back over 2.5 goals for £10