QPR Vs Leeds

Hi Folks,

There is no early premiership match today onl the championship, so lets have a look at that.

QPR's last 18 matches reads W8D4L6. They have scored in 12/18 and conceded in 13/18. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 19 goals.
Leeds last 18 matches reads  W7D5L6. They have scored in 12/18 and conceded in 13/18. They have scored 27 goals and conceded 23 goals.
QPR have won 2 of the last 6 matches, drawing 1 and losing 3. However, they have lost the last 3.
Leeds have won 2 of the last 6 matches, drawing 2 and losing 2. They have no wins in the last 2 (D1L1)
QPR's last 12 home matches read (W11D3L2). They have scored in 10/12 matches and conceded in 7/12. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 11 goals.
QPR have the 3rd best home record in the league
Leeds last 12 away matches reads (W3D2L7). They have scored in 7/12 and conceded in 10/12. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 22 goals.
QPR last 4 at home has yielded 2 wins and 1 draw and 1 loss
Leeds last 4 away has yielded 1 win and 1 draw and 2 losses.

The last 11H2H's read H2D2A6 (27% Draws)
At QPR H0D2A3 (40% Draws)

The graded analysis for QPR reads (W3D1L4). They have scored in 7/8 and conceded in 5/8 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 1 goal.
The graded analysis for Leeds reads (W0D5L6). They have scored in 6/11 and conceded in 9/11. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 15 goals.

This one is a tricky one as there is a bit of value in laying the draw. However, there is a bit of doubt when looking at the H2H's at QPR, with 2 out of the last 5 being draws and 2 out of the last 4 being draws.
There looks to be some value in backing QPR, but they have lost the last 3 and not won in the last 5 at home to Leeds. However, Leeds have not beaten an 'A' graded side in the last 11 matches, but they have drawn 5, so I can't back QPR.

In QPR there has been a goal in 9/12 matches in the 1st half at home.
In Leeds there has been a goal in 9/12 matches in the 1st half away.
Also QPR have scored 1st in 8/12 home matches and leeds have conceded 1st in 7/12 away matches.
QPR have scored in the lst half at home in 7/12 and Leeds have conceded in the 1st half away in 7/12
I make the odds for laying the HT 0-0 to be 4.0 and they are actually 2.88.

I will lay the HT 0-0 for 2.88 for £5.32