Chelsea Vs Stoke

Chelsea's last 18 matches reads (W12D3L3). They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 8/18. They have scored  34 goals and conceded 10 goals.
Stoke's last 18 matches reads (W7D5L6). They have scored in 13/18 and conceded in 15/18. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 27 goals.
Chelsea's last 6 matches reads (W4D0L2). They have scored in 4/6 and conceded in 3/6. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 3 goals.
Stoke's last 6 matches reads (W4D1L1). They have scored in 5/6 and conceded in 4/6. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 4 goals.
Chelsea's last 12 home matches reads (W10D2L0). They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 6/12.They have scored 29 goals and conceded 7 goals.
Stoke's last 12 away matches reads (W1D4L7). They have scored in 6/12 and conceded in 11/12. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 25 goals.
Chelsea have the best home record in the league, winning 14 and drawing 2 and losing 0.
Stoke have the 4th worst away record in the league with 2 wins in 16 matches.

Chelsea have won 5 of their last 6 home matches, drawing the other one. They have scored in 5/6 and conceded in 1/6. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 1 goal.
Stoke have won 1 of their last 6 away matches, drawing 2 and losing 3. They have scored in 3/6 and conceded in 6/6. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals.

The graded analysis for Chelsea reads (W12D3L1). They have scored in 14/16 and conceded in 6/16. They have scored 29 goals and conceded 8 goals.
The graded analysis for Stoke reads (W0D0L11). They have scored in 4/11 and conceded in 11/11. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 25 goals.

The last 11H2H's reads H8D2L1
At Chelsea reads H5D0L0

The stats are all in Chelsea's favour in this one. LTD is far too high. The only hope for this one is if Stoke can keep it tight or score first then I will get involved and LTD around 4.0