Saturday, 12 April 2014

Fulham Vs Norwich

Fulham's last 18 matches reads (W4D2L12). They have scored in 13/18 and conceded in 17/18. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 48 goals.
Norwich's last 18 matches reads (W3D6L9). They have scored in 10/18 and conceded in 12/18. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 24 goals.
Fulham's last 6 matches reads (W2D0L4). They have scored in 5/6 and conceded in 6/5. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 15 goals.
Norwich's last 6 matches reads (W1D1L4). They have scored in 4/6 and conceded in 5/6. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 13 goals.
Fulham's last 12 home matches reads (W3D0L9). They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 10/12. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 28 goals.
Norwich's last 12 away matches reads (W1D2L9). They have scored in 7/12 and conceded in 10/12. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 32 goals.
Fulham have the second worst home record.
Norwich have the second worst away record.
Fulham have won 1 of their last 6 home matches, drawing 0 and losinhg 5. They have scored in 5/6 and conceded in 5/6. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 16 goals. However, they have played Everton, Chelsea, Liverpool and Southampton in the last 6 at home, so a tough run of matches.
Norwich have won 0 of their last 6 matches, drawing 0 and losing 6. They have scored in 3/6 and conceded in 6/6. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 17 goals. They have played Everton and Southampton, the rest of the matches have been against lower graded opposition.

The graded analysis for Fulham reads (W9D1L3). They have scored in 13/13 and conceded in 7/13. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 12 goals.
The graded analysis for Norwich reads (W3D2L10). They have scored in 8/15 and conceded in 13/15. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 29 goals.

The last 9H2H's read (H7D2A0)
At Fulham (H4D0A0).

This is a match that both teams need to win. Both are not in great form, although Fulham do lead in the stats. Fulham's home form is very poor as is Norwich, however, the last 6 home matches, Fulham have played some tough teams. Norwich have had an easier last 6 away matches and have lost them all. Also if you look at the graded analysis and the H2H's you have to side with Fulham.
Norwich have a poor record at Fulham and sacked Chris houghton last week.

There is value in LTD in this one and I will be taking this one on.
I will LTD at 3.6 and look to hedge out at 7.2 or if a team has a 2-0 lead.

A 2nd half goal could be value as well. Fulham's last 12 home matches have had a second half goal in 11/12 and Norwich's last 12 away matches have had a second half goal in 9/12. Odds should be 6.0

I will Lay HT score if less than 4.0

 

 

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