Lazio Vs Sampdoria

Lazio's last 18 matches reads (W8D4L6). They have scored in 13/18 and conceded in 11/18. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 23 goals.
Sampdoria's last 18 matches reads (W9D4L5). They have scored in 12/18 and conceded in 9/18. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 19 goals.
Lazio's last 6 matches reads (W3D1L2). They have scored in 4/6 and conceded in 4/6. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 6 goals.
Sampdoria's last 6 matches reads (W3D2L1). They have scored in 3/6 and conceded in 3/6. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 6 goals.
Lazio's last 12 home matches reads (W5D4L3). They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 7/12. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 13 goals.
Sampdoria's last 12 home matches reads (W5D1L6). They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 9/12. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 19 goals.
Lazio have won 2 of their last 6 home matches, drawing 3 and losing 1. Although the three they drew were against Inter, Roma and Juventus, so they have had a tough run of fixtures. They scored in 4/6 and conceded in 5/6. They scored 8 goals and conceded 7 goals.
Sampdoria have won 3 of their last 6 away matches, drawing 0 and losing 3. They have won 3 of the last 2 matches away, although all them three matches were against 'D' grade teams.

The graded analysis for Lazio reads (W9D2L4). They have scored in 10/15 and conceded in 10/15. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 13 goals.
The graded analysis for Lazio reads (W0D1L7). They have scored in 3/8 and conceded in 7/8. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 17 goals.

The last 11H2H's read H5D3A3
At Lazio reads H3D2A0

Sampdoria have not won at Lazio since 2004/2005 season.

The form for both teams is fairly even throughout the season home and away. However, when you look at the key stats they are all in Lazio's favour. Also the graded analysis is in Lazio's favour too, as well as the H2H's There is value in LTD in this one, as I have it at 4.2-4.8. So I think I will LTD in this one from the start.