Sorry it has been a while. I have been reallu busy with work, so I have not done much trading this year. Anyway lets have a look at tonight's match between Man Utd and Liverpool. Liverpool won the first leg 2-0 at Anfield and but for De Gea, the Man Utd goalkeeper, the tie would have been over. However, with Liverpools poor record at Man Utd, this could be an interesting match.
Man Utd - 2.8
Liverpool - 3.0
Draw - 3.35
There is value in LTD in this one @3.4. I think the price should be around 9.1
The last 10H2H's at Old Trafford have yielded no draws, 8 Man Utd wins and 2 Liverpool wins.
Man Utd have won 16 of their last 25 home matches. Liverpool have won 11 of their last 25 away matches.
In the last 12 home matches Man Utd have scored 1.50gpg, conceded 0.58gpg. They have kept 7/12 clean sheets and scored in 8/12
In the last 12 away matches Liverpool have scored 1.83gpg, conceded 1.42gpg. They have kept 3/12 clean sheets and scored in 7/12
Man Utd are on top in terms of the stats.
There is a 80% chance of 1 or more goals
There is a 62% chance of over 1.5 goals.
There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals.
For this match I will LTD from the start and I may also have a small lay on Liverpool in the 'To Qualify' market, as I think 1.14 is a bit short