Monday, 28 February 2011

AC Milan Vs Napoli

Hi folks

AC Milan Vs Napoli

  • Since 95/96 Napoli have beaten AC Milan only once in the league, with 7 wins for AC Milan and 7 draws.
  • AC Milan are unbeaten at home in their last 16 meetings with the Napoli. Napoli last win in Milan was 85/86
  • On the last 4 occasions AC Milan have failed to score at home against Napoli, each game ending 0-0.
  • AC Milan have not conceded a goal in their last 3 games at home
  • Napoli have won 5 of their last 6 league matches
  • Overall Napoli have kept a high 14 clean sheets this season.
Stats
AC Milan (Overall) W16D7L3 Napoli (Overall) W16D4L6
AC Milan (Home) W8D3L2 Napoli (Away) W7D2L4
Average Goals Scored 2.07 vs 1.3
Average Goals Conceded 0.76 vs 1.07
Clean Sheets 53% vs 38%
Failed to Score 15% Vs 15%

Comments:- Napoli have only had 1 win out of the last 7 with AC Milan, with 3 draws. So the stats suggest AC Milan have the edge. However, the last few games between these two teams have been 0-0. So I think this game will be tight. AC Milan are 1st and Napoli are 3rd. So it could be a stalemate. I don't think I will risk laying the draw. However, both teams don't score many early goals and both defences are good. So I think I will lay over 2.5 goals and ride that for the first 15 mins of the game. Another option is to lay Napoli, but I think I will wait and see how the game pans out.

Happy Trading

AC Milan 3 Napoli 0

Tactics worked well as it was a tight game and was 0-0 until the 49 minute. I layed over 2.5 goals for the first 15 minutes of the match and locked in a profit of £2.09

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