The Carling Cup Final

The big one,

• Nicklas Bendtner has scored six goals in his last 7 carling cup appearances.
• Arsenal have made the league cup final on six previous occasions, winning just twice.
• Arsenal have met Birmingham only once in the league cup winning 4-1 after extra time and Jason Crowe earning Arsenal's fastest ever red card.
• Samir Nasri has scored in all three of his appearances against Birmingham City.
• Birmingham City have conceded the first goal in seven of their last nine carling cup matches and four of the six they have played this season
• Arsenal are unbeaten in 11 games in all competitions and are the only premier league side yet to be beaten in the league in 2011
• Van Persie has scored 5 goals in his last 3 games in all comps

Stats

Arsenal (Overall league form) W17D5L5 Birmingham (Overall league form) W6D12L8

Arsenal (Overall away form) W7D4L2 Birmingham (Overall away form) W2D5L5

Average Goals Scored 2.07 vs 1.0

Average Goals %conceded 1.15 vs 1.66

Clean sheets 31% vs 25%

Failed to score 15% vs 33%

Comments:- As much as I would like to be wrong, I can't see anything other than an Arsenal victory. Van Persie starts and so does Nasri.

Tactics:- lay the draw at 5.2, stop loss 1.9. Also lay under 2.5 goals

Happy Trading

Arsenal 1 Birmingham 2

Well what can you say, what is going on. Can you believe it. I hedged out at my stop loss of 1.9 for a loss of -£6.16. However, I laid under 2.5 goals and made a profit of £2.90. I also laid over 3.5 goals in the 2nd half, after hedging out of laying the draw and made a £2.38 profit. Then as the game got stretched in the last 15 mins and Arsenal looked like scoring I laid the 1-1 scoreline for a profit of £4.75, so total profit for the game was £3.87