Real Sociedad Vs Mallorca (10 vs 11)
The last 8 matches both teams have not been very consistent with Real Sociedad winning 3 games and losing 5. Mallorca have won 3 games, drew 1 and lost 4. However, Real Sociedad have won their last 2 home games without conceding a goal, although the opposition were not great. Real Sociedad have got a good home record, winning 7, and losing 4. Mallorca away from home have only won 2 and drew 2 and lost 7.
Real Sociedad have won their last 3 home league matches against Mallorca.
Mallorca are without a win in their last 5 away games in the league.
The stats are also in Real Sociedad's favour :-
Average goals scored 1.54 vs 0.81
Average goals conceded 1 vs 2
Clean Sheets 63% vs 0%
Failed to score 0% vs 45%
I think Real Sociedad will win or at least be ahead at some point, so I think I will look to lay the draw on this one and set a stop loss of 1.9
West Ham Vs Burnley (FA Cup)
West Ham have been playing well in the cups this season. 7 wins and only 1 loss.
West Ham have won their last 9 FA cup matches against lower division teams.
Burnley have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 13 FA cup games.
Burnley have won 1 out of the last 11 against West Ham
Burnley have won only 1 of their last 9 FA Cup games away.
West Ham home form this season in the league has been patchy to say the least W3D4L6
Average goals scored 1.07
Average goals conceded 1.53
Clean Sheets 23%
Failed to score 23%
They have only scored once in the first 15 mins and conceded 7 in the first 15 mins
Burnley away form this season in the league is also not great W3D8L5
Average goals scored 1.12
Average goals conceded 1.18
Clean Sheets 12%
Failed to score 31%
They have only scored 3 in the first 15 mins and conceded 6 in the first 15 mins
Scott Parker has been West Ham's best player by far this season. When he plays they do look better, although he does carry the team. Carlton Cole has not been as good this season. Piquionne, West Ham's leading scorer this season is on the bench. However, I think they should still have enough in this game to win and go through and keep the good cup form going. However, I think it might be a tight game, at least to start with.
I am going to back the 0-0 for the first 15 mins for 5% of bank, and lay the draw, again with a stop loss of 1.9
Happy Trading
Thanks for sharing your analyses Gareth! It's vital to know and have a thought process behind all bets/trading.
ReplyDeletePlease keep doing this ;)