Monday, 21 March 2011

MK Dons Vs Peterborough

Hi folks,

Here are my thoughts for tonights game.

Tonights match is between MK Dons (6) vs Peterborough (3). These two teams are the two in-form teams in this division at the moment. In the last 8 games MK Dons have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2, and one of those wins was against the top team in the divison. Peterborough have won 7 and drawn 1 of the last 8 matches and have scored 24 goals and only conceded 3 in the process. However, seven of those games were against teams in the bottom half of the table. MK dons have a good defense and at home only concede on average 0.88 goals per game. Peterborough concede on average 1.58 per game away from home. The odds for both teams are fairly even and there has only been one 0-0 between these two teams in the last 5 matches.

Tactics:- Lay the draw, stop loss 1.9

I might also consider laying over 2.5 goals for the first 15 mins of the game, as both teams don;t concede or score many in the first 15 mins. If an early goal goes in I will lay over 2.5 goals again, and then look to trade on the correct score market to minimise losses.

Happy Trading

MK DONS 1 PETERBOROUGH 0

Well the game pretty much went to plan. Everybody was saying there would be lots of goals as Peterborough score lots of goals, but as mentioned before, they have won against lower table opposition. I laid the draw and hedged out for a £7.23 profit, when MK Dons scored late in the second half.

I also laid over 2.5 goals, and after 15 mins, I decided to stay in and placed insurance bets on the 2-1 and 1-2, so the only way I would lose is if it was 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, 3-2, 2-3 or AUQ. As the first half progressed there was a few half chances and each team hit the post once, but there was no real one-on-one chances and there was a lot of long rang shots. MK Dons defended very well. At the end I locked in a profit on over 2.5 goals of £15.72.


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