Monday, 28 March 2011

Oldham Vs Tranmere

Hi Folks,

Just one football game to trade on tonight.

Oldham (15) Vs Tranmere (19)

Well both teams are in free fall and have no form. Oldham have only drawn 1 of the last 8 games and Tranmere are only slightly better with 1 win and 2 draws in the last 8. The only win was their last game against Colchester (1-0). However, further examination of the stats reveals that 6 of the last 8 games for Oldham were against top half table teams, including Peterborough, MK Dons and Brighton. Also Oldham have only lost the last three games 1-0.

Tranmere have also played top half teams and have played three bottom half teams, were they managed a draw and two losses. Both teams in the last 8 games scored less than 1 goal per game and both only kept 1 clean sheet in the last 8. The last 8 matches for each team yielded 37.5% and 25% over 2.5 goals respectively.

Oldham have lost the last 4 games at home and Tranmere have drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 away games, again both teams scoring less than a goal per game. However, 3/4 games for both teams home and away respectively have been against top table teams.

The head to heads definitely goes to Oldham, having won 3 out of the last 5, with 1 draw and 1 loss making up the numbers. Only 1 of these 5 games was over 2.5 goals.

Tactics:- This is a tough one to call as both teams are in dire form. However, looking at the stats, particularly the head to heads I think Oldham will shade the game. Also with home advantage, that might just give them the edge.

I think this game is too risky to lay the draw, considering the form of both teams. So I think I will be laying over 2.5 goals and covering my options in the correct score market.

Happy Trading


OLDHAM 0 Vs Tranmere 1

Well the game pretty much went to plan. I laid over 2.5 goals and also covered 2-1, and 1-2 just in case an early goal went in. I managed to hedge out for a £7.77

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