Today's early kick-off is the the fierce derby between Sunderland Vs Newcastle.
In their last 6 matches Sunderland have won 3, scoring 11 goals and conceding 10, keeping 1 clean sheet. They have only failed to score in 1 match, and have lost 2 matches. In the last 6 matches Newcastle have won 1, scoring 7 goals and conceding 10, keeping 1 clean sheet. They have failed to score in 2 matches, and have lost only 1.
Sunderland's last 6 home matches have produced 1 win and 5 losses, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 15, with 0 clean sheets. Newcastle's last 6 away matches have produced 1 win and 3 losses, they have scored 5 goals and conceded 11, keeping 1 clean sheet.
Last season Sunderland scored 44.6% of all goals in their games and Newcastle scored 49.6%.
Overall last season Sunderland scored 45 goals and conceded 56. They kept 34% clean sheets and scored in 68.4% of games. Newcastle scored 56 goals and conceded 57. They kept 23.7% clean sheets and scored in 73.7% of games.
When it comes to the H2H's Sunderland have only won 2 out of the last 21 games hosting Newcastle. They have also only won 1 out of 9 against Newcastle at the stadium of light, 5 of them games produced less than 2.5 goals.
Sunderland's overall home record last season was W7D5L7, Scored 25, conceded 27 and kept 7 clean sheets, however most of them clean sheets came in the first half of the season.
Newcastle's overall away record last season was W5D5L9, Scored 15, conceded 30 and kept 5 clean sheets.
Conclusion:- Looking at the stats I can't lay the draw as the stats don't conclusively suggest that Sunderland will score first, and with Sunderland being the slight favourites, I don't think I will be able to hedge out for a profit if Newcastle score first. Based on the stats and the H2H's I am going to try something different. I am going to lay Sunderland as I think this game will be a tight 0-0 or 1-1. I will lay Sunderland @2.58, my stop loss will be 1.3, which should give me time, even if Sunderland do take the lead. My exit profit point will be @4.0 if it is still 0-0 or when Newcastle score.
Happy Trading
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