Hi Folks,
Here we go.
The success rate for this match is 16%. This equates to a 5% chance of a Liverpool win and 22% for the draw and 73% for Man United.
The goal expectancy is 2.96
%0 goals is 5%
%Home Team to score 1st is 21%
The last 6 games Liverpool have won 4, scoring 9 and conceding 7, with 2 clean sheets. They have lost 2. 50% of their games have been over 2.5 goals. Man United have won 5, scoring 22, conceding 4, with 3 clean sheets. They have lost 0. 66.7% of their games have been over 2.5 goals.
There have been no 0-0's for either teams first 7 matches of the season (14 in total).
H2H's
In the 38 matches of the premiership Liverpool have won 11, drawn 6 and Man United have won 21.
At Anfield (19 matches), Liverpool have won 11 (including the last 3), 3 draws, Man United 9 wins.
The last 10 matches in the league between the two have yielded 6 matches over 2.5 goals. At Anfield only 2 games in the last 5 have been over 2.5 goals.
There has been 1 0-0 between the two teams in 38 matches.
General:- Liverpool have been winning in all their home games at half time. Man United have been winning in 2/3 of their 3 away games at half time.
Liverpool at home scored 1st in every game. Man United away have scored 1st in every game.
This is a tough one to call. No matter were both teams are in the league, it is always at intense affair. Rooney and Hernandez are on the bench, which is strange. However, based on the stats and the odds, we only need a goal for laying the draw. So I think I will lay the draw in this game. I think Liverpool's defence has been suspect for this season and last, carragher is getting on now and even without Rooney and Hernandez I still think Man United will score. However, Man United have been a bit suspect in defense this season as well at times, and I think with Suraez and Gerrard back Liverpool can also score. Liverpool at home with the crowd behind them tend to score early, and Man United score at anytime, so i am going to lay under 2.5 goals, and try and hedge out for a profit at some point.
Happy Trading
UPDATE:- Well lay the draw went nicely and I hedged in a nice profit. However, after 25 minutes when the chances were sparse, I switched and laid over 2.5 goals and manged to get a small profit before it went to 1-1. I must admit I was suprised by Fergies team selection. I think if Rooney and hernandez were playing, Man United would have won, although to be fair Liverpool had some good chances when it was 1-1. Overall I think 1-1 was a fair result
I layed U2.5 @1.86 for 100€
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