Man Utd Vs Fulham

Monday Football pits Man Utd, who are 2nd, against Fulham, who are 13th. I think this will be a one sided match, with Man Utd, returning to the top of the premiership, but let’s have a look at the stats.

League Form
•    In the last 10 matches, Man Utd have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1. They have won the last 5 and are undefeated in the last 9 matches.
•    In the last 10 matches, Fulham have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4. They have lost the last 2 and have only won 3 of the last 6 matches.
•    Looking at current form (last 6). Man Utd have Won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0. They have scored 17 goals (2.83gpg) and conceded 6 goals (1gpg). They have kept 2 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
•    Looking at current form (last 6). Fulham have Won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3. They have scored 8 goals (1.33gpg) and conceded 8 goals (1.33gpg). They have kept 2 clean sheets and scored in 3 of the 6 matches.
•    Looking at current home form (last 6). Man Utd have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1. They have scored 16 goals (2.67gpg) and conceded 4 goals (0.67gpg). They have kept 4 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
•    Looking at current away form (last 6). Fulham have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3. They have scored 4 goals (0.67gpg) and conceded 9 goals (1.5gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 4 of the 6 matches.

H2H’s
•    In the last 11 matches, Man Utd have won 8, Fulham have won 2 and there has been 1 draw.
•    In the last 5 matches at Man Utd, Man Utd have won all 5.
•    8 of the 11 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
•    All 11 matches have been over 1.5 goals.

General Stats
•    Man Utd have scored 1st in 86% of their home matches.
•    Fulham have scored 1st in 29% of their away matches.
•    Looking at Man Utd’s home matches and Fulham’s away matches, there has only been 21% of games over 1.5 goals in the 1st half
•    71% of Man Utd’s home matches have had over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half
•    43% of Fulham’s away matches have had over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half.
•    100% of the time there has been a goal in Man Utd’s home matches.
•    86% of the time there has been a goal in Fulham’s away matches
•    71% of the time there has been a goal in Man Utd’s home matches in the 1st half
•    43% of the time there has been a goal in Fulham away matches in the 1st half
•    92.8% of the time there has been a goal in Man Utd’s home matches in the 2nd half.
•    71% of the time there has been a goal in Fulham’s away matches in the 2nd half.
•    Man Utd have kept 50% clean sheets at home this season
•    Fulham have kept 29% clean sheets away from home this season.
•    100% of the time Man Utd have scored at home
•    50% of the time Fulham have scored away.
•    57% of the time Man Utd have scored in the 1st half at home
•    21% of the time Fulham have scored in the 1st half away
•    85% of the time Man Utd have scored in the 2nd half at home
•    36% of the time Fulham have scored in the 2nd half away
•    Only 17.8% of the time has there been a goal in the 1st 15 mins of Man Utd’s home matches and Fulham’s away matches.
•    43% of the time there has been a goal in the last 15 mins of Man Utd’s home matches and Fulham’s away matches.
•    92.8% of Man Utd’s home matches have the 1st goals before 68mins
•    71% of Fulham’s away matches have the 1st goal before 68mins
•    78.5% of the time Man Utd have scored 1st at home before 68mins
•    29% of the time Fulham have scored 1st away before 68mins
•    79% of the time Man Utd are leading before 68mins at home
•    29% of the time Fulham are leading before 68mins away
•    100% of Man Utd’s home matches have 1 goal or more
•    85% of Fulham’s away matches have 1 goal or more
•    93% of Man Utd’s home matches have over 1.5 goals
•    72% of Fulham’s away matches have over 1.5 goals
•    64% of Man Utd’s home matches have over 2.5 goals
•    21.4% of Fulham’s away matches have over 2.5 goals.

Verdict:- All the stats point to a Man Utd win. We can’t lay the draw from the start as the odds are too high. Looking at goal timing, it maybe worth looking at laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 15 mins and then looking to back over 1.5 goals or 2.5 goals  after 20-30 mins for a better price. The best we can hope for is if Fulham can keep it 0-0 for awhile so we can get some better prices.