Bayern Munich face Marseille tonight in the 2nd leg of the quarter final. Marseille trial 2-0 from the 1st leg, so they have to score goals. Bayern Munich are in great form, whilst Marseille’s league form has been poor. So is this a home banker, let’s have a look at the stats.
League Form
• In the last 10 matches Bayern Munich have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1. They have won the last 4.
• In the last 10 matches Marseille have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5. They have not won a game in the last 8.
• Looking at current form (last 6). Bayern Munich have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1. They have scored 18 goals (3gpg) and conceded 4 goals (0.67gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 5 of the 6 matches.
• Looking at current form (last 6). Marseille have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 5. They have scored 2 goals (0.33gpg) and conceded 8 goals (1.33gpg). They have kept 0 clean sheets and scored in 2 of the 6 matches.
• Looking at current home form (last 6). Bayern Munich have won all 6 matches. They have scored 18 goals (3gpg) and conceded 2 goals (0.33gpg). They have kept 4 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
• Looking at current away form (last 6). Marseille have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3. They have scored 6 goals (1gpg) and conceded 7 goals (1.17gpg). They have kept 0 clean sheets and scored in 3 of the 6 matches.
Champions League form
• Bayern Munich have W6D1L2. They have scored 20 goals (2.22gpg) and conceded 7 goals (0.77gpg). They have kept 4 clean sheets. They have won all 4 home games in the champions league so far. 3 of the 4 home matches have been over 2.5 goals and all 4 have been over 1.5 goals.
• Marseille have W4D1L4. They have scored 9 goals (1gpg) and conceded 8 goals (0.88gpg). They have kept 4 clean sheets. They have won 2 away matches, drawn 1 and lost 1. 2 of the 5 matches were over 2.5 goals and 2 of the 5 matches were over 1.5 goals.
General League Stats
• Bayern Munich score 1st at home 86% of the time compared to 43% of time away for Marseille.
• 50% of Bayern Munich’s home matches have over 1.5 goals in the 1st half, as do Marseille’s away matches.
• Every Bayern Munich home match there has been a goal compared to 86% of Marseille’s away matches.
• 71% of the time there is a goal in the 1st half of Bayern Munich’s home matches compared to 71% of the time for Marseille’s away matches.
• 92% of the time there is a goal in the 2nd half of Bayern Munich’s home matches compared to 71% of the time for Marseille’s away matches.
• Bayern Munich have scored in 85% of their home matches compared to 57% for Marseille’s away matches.
• Bayern Munich have scored in the 1st half of their home matches 71% of the time compared to only 43% of the time for Marseille in their away matches.
• Bayern Munich have scored in the 2nd half of their home matches 79% of the time compared to only 43% of the time for Marseille in their away matches.
• 50% of Bayern Munich’s matches contain a goal in the 1st 15mins, compared to 43% of Marseille’s away matches.
• Every home Bayern Munich match has had the 1st goal of the game before 68mins compared to 86% for Marseille’s away matches.
• 86% of the time Bayern Munich has scored the 1st goal before 68 mins compared to 43% for Marseille away from home.
• 86% of the time Bayern Munich are leading before 68mins compared to 50% of the time for Marseille away from home.
• 85% of Bayern Munich’s home matches have over 1.5 goals compared to 72% of Marseille’s away matches
• 65% of Bayern Munich’s home matches have over 2.5 goals compared to 43% of Marseille’s away matches.
H2H’s
• No previous encounters apart from the 1st leg.
Verdict
• As the stats show, Bayern Munich are bang in form and Marseille have been very poor this season. Also Marseille have to chase the match, being 2-0 down, so hopefully we will get some goals in the game. The odds for over 2.5 goals and over 1.5 goals are about right, so no value there. I will be laying the draw as Bayern at home look too strong. Also if Marseille can keep it tight for the 1st 20mins I might look to back over 1.5 goals
No comments:
Post a Comment