Tuesday, 17 April 2012

Bayern Munich Vs Real Madrid

The first semi-final of the Champions League, pits the German giants, Bayern Munich against the Spanish giants, Real Madrid. So will this be a cagey affair or an action packed game full of goals. Let’s have a look at the stats.

Current League Form
•    In the last 10 matches, Bayern Munich have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2.
•    In the last 10 matches Real Madrid have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0.
•    If we look at the last 6 matches, Bayern Munich have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1. They have scored 11 goals (1.83gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.50gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 4 of the 6 matches.
•    If we look at the last 6 matches, Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0. They have scored 18 goals (3gpg) and conceded 5 goals (0.83gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 5 of the 6 matches.
•    If we look at current home form (last 6), Bayern Munich have won 5 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals (2.5gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.50gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 5 of the 6 matches.
•    If we look at current away form (last 6), Real Madrid have won 5 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals (2.5gpg) and conceded 5 goals (0.83gpg). They have kept 2 clean sheets and scored in 6 of the 6 matches.

Champions League Form
•    Bayern Munich have P10W7D1L2. They have scored 22 goals (2.2gpg) and conceded 7 (0.7gpg). They have kept 5 clean sheets and scored in 8 of the 10 matches.
•    Bayern Munich at home have P5W5, scoring 17 goals (2.43gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.43gpg)
•    Real Madrid have P10W9D1L0. They have scored 32 goals (3.2gpg) and conceded 6 goals (0.6gpg). They have kept 6 clean sheets and scored in 10 of the 10 matches.
•    Real Madrid away from home have P5W4D1. They have scored 10 goals (2gpg) and conceded 1 goal (0.2gpg). They have kept 4 clean sheets and scored in all 5 matches.

H2H’s
•    In the last 12 H2H’s in the champions league, Bayern Munich have won 7, Real Madrid have won 4 and there has been 1 draw. There has been no 0-0’s. 7 of the 12 matches have been over 2.5 goals and 10 of the 12 have been over 1.5 goals. If we look at the H2H’s at Bayern, then Real Madrid have won 0 and Bayern have won 5, there has been 1 draw and no 0-0’s. 5 of the 6 matches have been over 2.5 goals and all 6 have been over 1.5 goals.


General Stats (League)
•    Bayern Munich score 1st at home 81% of the time. Real Madrid score 1st away from home 75% of the time.
•    Bayern Munich have scored in 81% of their home matches. Real Madrid have scored in 87% of their away matches.
•    There is a goal in the 1st 15mins of Bayern’s home matches 50% of the time. There is a goal in the 1st 15mins of Real Madrid’s away matches 31% of the time. However, it is worth bearing in mind that Bayern only concede 16.7% of their goals at home in the 1st half and Real Madrid only concede 18.2% of their away goals in the 1st half.
•    Bayern Munich keep 62.5% clean sheets at home
•    Real Madrid keep 50% clean sheets away from home.

Verdict
Both teams have an awesome record in the Champions League this season, and both teams don’t concede many goals in the league or in the Champions League. This is a hard one to call, I think Bayern Munich will want to keep the game tight and will not want Real Madrid to get any away goals. However, with the likes on Ronaldo on show, I can’t see Real Madrid scoring a blank. I think there may be some mileage in laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 20mins as both teams hardly concede any goals in the 1st half. As for the final result, maybe 1-1, but it’s too hard to call.

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