The Monday night sky sports match pits Leicester, who are 11th, against West Ham, who are 3rd. Leicester cannot make the play-offs now, but West Ham still have an outside chance of claiming 2nd spot, as Middlesbrough beat Southampton at the weekend. However, West Ham must win this Monday night clash.
The last 10 matches for Leicester have seen them win 4, draw 3 and lose 3. 7 of the 10 matches have been over 2.5 goals. The last 10 matches for West Ham have seen them win 3, draw 6 and lose 1. 5 of the 10 matches have been over 2.5 goals. If we look at the last 6 matches for both teams we can see that Leicester have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2. They haven’t won in the last 2. They have scored 7 goals (1.17gpg) and conceded 4 goals (0.67gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 3 of the 6 matches. West ham won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of the last 6. They haven’t lost in the last 4 matches. They have scored 18 goals (3gpg) and conceded 8 goals (1.33gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
If we look at current home form for Leicester we can see that they have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0. They have scored 13 goals (2.17gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.50gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 5 of the 6 matches. 4 of the 6 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
If we look at current away form for West Ham we can see that they have won 3 and drawn 3 and lost 0. They have scored 12 goals (2gpg) and conceded 4 goals (0.67gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 6 of the 6 matches. 2 of the 6 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
If we look at the H2H’s in the last 11 matches, we have 2 Leicester wins, 5 West Ham wins and 4 draws. 6 of the 11 matches have been over 2.5 goals and 7 of the 11 matches have been over 1.5 goals. Looking at the last 5 matches at Leicester we can see that Leicester have won 1, West Ham have won 1 and there have been 3 draw’s, including 2 0-0’s. 2 of the 5 matches have been over 2.5 goals and 3 of the 5 have been over 1.5 goals.
Leicester score 1st in 50% of their home matches and West Ham score 1st in 59% of their away matches. Leicester score in 77% of their home matches, they score 55% of the time in the 1st half at home and 55% of the time in the 2nd half at home. West Ham score in 86% of their away matches, they score 64% of the time in the 1st half away and 55% of the time in the 2nd half away.
Leicester’s home matches have a goal in the 1st 15mins 32% of the time. They also score 28% of their goals in the 1st 30mins, however, they concede 40% of their home goals in the 1st 30mins. Leicester score 34% of their goals in the last 30mins at home and concede 40% of their goals in the last 30mins at home. West Ham’s away matches have a goal in the 1st 15mins 36% of the time. They also score 34% of their goals in the 1st 30mins away from home and they concede 28% of their goals in the 1st 30mins away. West Ham score 34% of their away goals in the last 30mins of a match and they concede 38% of their away goals in the last 30mins of a match. Leicester’s home matches contain a goal in the last 15mins 32% of the time. West Ham’s away matches contain a goal in the last 15mins 45% of the time.
Verdict:- The current form for these two teams is fairly even, with West Ham having a narrow advantage. Also West Ham have scored more goals, but both teams have good defensive records. Looking at home vs. away form; Leicester’s home form in the last 6 is very good, with no defeats. However, West Ham’s away form in the last 6 is not bad either, with no defeats. Initially, I was thinking this could be a stalemate and may be finish 0-0. However, West Ham have got to win this game to stand any chance of finishing 2nd, also Leicester have nothing to play for, so we may see an open game of football. The stats suggest there could be an early goal, so it is possible to lay over 2.5 goals or lay the 0-0. The stats also suggest there could be late goals. The reverse fixture earlier in the season finished 3-2.
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