Friday, 13 April 2012

Stuttgart Vs Werder Bremen

Tonight’s Bundesliga clash pits Stuttgart, who are 5th, against Werder Bremen, who are 8th.  Both teams are hoping to get the final few points and make a push for the European places. Who will come out on top tonight, let’s have a look at the stats.

Current form
•    Looking at Stuttgart’s last 10 matches, they have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1. They are undefeated in the last 8 matches.
•    Looking at Werder Bremen’s last 10 matches, they have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4. They have not recorded a victory in the last 5 matches.
•    Looking at Stuttgart’s current form (last 6), they have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0. They have scored 14 goals (2.33gpg) and conceded 7 goals (1.17gpg). They have kept 2 clean sheets and scored in 5 of the 6 matches.
•    Looking at Werder Bremen’s current form (last 6), they have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2. They have scored 7 goals (1.17gpg) and conceded 8 goals (1.33gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 4 of the 6 matches.
•    Looking at Stuttgart’s current home form (last 6), they have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1. They have scored 14 goals (2.33gpg) and conceded 5 goals (0.83gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 4 of the 6 matches.
•    Looking at Werder Bremen’s current away form (last 6), they have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2. They have scored 6 goals (1gpg) and conceded 6 goals (1gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 3 of the 6 matches.

H2H’s
•    The last 11 H2H’s have yielded 5 Stuttgart wins, 4 Werder Bremen wins and 2 draws. There have been no 0-0’s between the teams. 8 of the 11 matches have been over 2.5 goals and 11 of the 11 have been over 1.5 goals.
•    If we look at the last 5 matches at Stuttgart, Stuttgart have won 4 and Werder Bremen have won 1. 4 of the 5 matches have been over 2.5 goals and 5 of the 5 matches have been over 1.5 goals.

General Stats
•    In Stuttgart’s home matches, both teams score 47% of the time. In Werder Bremen’s away matches, both teams score 60% of the time.
•    Stuttgart score 1st in 67% of their home matches. Werder Bremen score 1st in 27% of their away matches.
•    40% of Stuttgart’s home matches have over 1.5 goals in the 1st half. 53% of Werder Bremen’s away matches have over 1.5 goals in the 1st half.
•    53% of Stuttgart’s home matches have over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half. 53% of Werder Bremen’s away matches have over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half.
•    93% of Stuttgart’s home matches have at least one goal. 93% of Werder Bremen’s away matches have at least one goal.
•    80% of Stuttgart’s home matches have a goal in the 1st half. 73% of Werder Bremen’s away matches have a goal in the 1st half.
•    80% of Stuttgart’s home matches have a goal in the 2nd half. 80% of Werder Bremen’s away matches have a goal in the 2nd half.
•    Stuttgart keep 40% clean sheets at home. Werder Bremen keep 6.7% clean sheets away from home.
•    Stuttgart have won to 0 at home 33.3% of the time. Werder Bremen have won to 0 away from home 0% of the time.
•    Stuttgart score in 80% of their home matches. Werder Bremen score in 60% of their away matches.
•    Stuttgart score in 67% of their home matches in the 1st half. Werder Bremen score in 47% of their away matches in the 1st half.
•    Stuttgart score in 53% of their home matches in the 2nd half. Werder Bremen score in 47% of their away matches in the 2nd half.
•    33% of Stuttgart’s home matches have a goal in the 1st 15mins. 27% of Werder Bremen’s away matches have a goal in the 1st 15mins.
•    Stuttgart score the 1st goal in their home matches before 68mins 60% of the time. Werder Bremen score the 1st goal in their away matches before 68mins 27% of the time.
•    Stuttgart are leading in their home matches before 68mins 73% of the time. Werder Bremen are leading in their away matches before 68mins 33% of the time.
•    40% of Stuttgart’s home matches have a goal in the last 15mins of the match. 20% of Werder Bremen’s away matches have a goal in the last 15mins of the match.
•    80% of Stuttgart’s home matches have over 1.5 goals. 73% of Werder Bremen away matches have over 1.5 goals.
•    67% of Stuttgart’s home matches have over 2.5 goals. 53% of Werder Bremen away matches have over 2.5 goals.

Verdict
•    The stats above suggest a Stuttgart win. Stuttgart also have a winning% at home of 53%, which isn’t great. However, Werder Bremen have a winning% away from home of 20%. Stuttgart score 1st in 67% of their home matches compared to 27% for Werder Bremen away. In terms of which half the most goals are scored and conceded, both teams are near the 50/50 mark. 8 of the last 10 matches for Stuttgart have produced over 2.5 goals, including the last 3 matches. However, only 4 of the last 10 for Werder Bremen have produced over 2.5 goals, although 2 of the last 3 were over 2.5 goals, but Werder Bremen’s last 3 away matches were under 2.5 goals. H2H’s, particularly at Stuttgart, are heavily in Stuttgart’s favour, with 4 of the last 5 being home wins and only 1 Werder Bremen win. There has been no 0-0’s. I think Stuttgart will win this one 1-0 or 2-0.

1 comment:

  1. man i wanted to be on this match, but i wasn't home, i was high at my friend :D I saw in livescore that werder bremen is winning 0-1 and in that moment I wanted to bet on stuttgart huge bank, cuz i know that they score a lot at home. It finished 3-1 i think. Unlucky :)

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