I have not posted for awhile as I have been taking a break from trading and doing other things. However, this weekend the championship, Scottish and dutch divisions get under way. Tonight there are two matches; Ajax vs Roda and Patrick vs Dundee Utd.
Ajax Vs Roda
Match Market:- All the major stats are in Ajax's favour; no surprise there. As expected, Ajax are heavily odds on and the LTD from the beginning is not possible as the odds are far too high. With this being the first game of the season we can hope for a slow start. I will look to LTD at HT if odds less than 5.0 or if Roda score 1st, preferably early in the match, we can back Ajax
Under/over 2.5 goals or under/over 3.5 goals:- Other options are possible with goals. Stats suggest anywhere between 2 and 5 goals. However, three goals seem likely. I will look to lay under 3.5 goals if no goals are scored in the first 25mins. Then in the second half I may look to lay under 2.5 goals if I can get a decent price.
Correct Score:- If there is a two goal cushion for 1 team I will look to lay the current score with 20-15 mins to go, if I can get less than 3.0, ideally around 2.0 would be better. Also both teams did score 1/4 of their goals last season in the last 15 minutes.
Patrick Vs Dundee Utd
The match market odds for this match are fairly even and with it being the 1st match of the season and the stats not showing a great deal, I will give this match a miss. Also Patrick are newly promoted and Dundee Utd finished mid-table last season. So hard to call
UPDATE:- Well no joy in the match market for the Ajax Vs Roda match as Ajax scored after 8 minutes. However, a 1pt profit for laying the current score with 15 minutes to go with Ajax leading 2-0.
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