Friday 13th August

Hi folks,

Well after the International break I am glad to be back to normal trading this weekend. Tonight there are a couple of matches to have a look at;

Bordeaux Vs PSG

PSG have not exactly got off to a great start to the season. However, most of the stats for this match do favour them, apart from the H2H's

 

The graded stats are also in PSG's favour. So the goal expectancy for this match is 2.44. If we look at the last 26H2H's since 2000, there have been 12 Bordeaux wins, 7 draws and 7 PSG wins. So this equates to 46% (2.17) for Bordeaux, 27% (3.70) for the draw and 27% (3.70) for PSG. If we look at the 13H2H's for Home vs Away we have 8 Bordeaux wins, 3 draws and 2 PSG wins. So this equates to 61.5% (1.63), 23% (4.34) and 15.3% (6.53). So both sets of analysis do suggest that there maybe some value in laying the draw in this one as the Betfair odds are 3.5. Also there maybe some value in laying PSG at 2.02.

There is no value in laying under 2.5 goals or backing over 2.5 goals. 

So I think I will look to lay the draw in this one.

Hertha Vs Stuttgart

Can't really find any value on this one with respect to laying the draw or over/unders so I will give this one a miss.