Friday night Football

Hi folks, a few matches tonight.

Hoffenheim Vs Leverkusen

Hoffenheim have won 7/24 and drawn 7 matches. Leverkusen have won 14/24 and drawn 6.
Hoffenheim have won 4/12 home matches and drawn 5. Leverkusen have won 5/12 away matches and drawn 4. Therefore the draw odds should be around 2.7, they are actually 3.8, so no value there.

Hoffenheim's have won 2/9 matches at home against grade 'A' opposition and drawn 3. Leverkusen have won 6/12 away matches against 'D' graded opposition and drawn 3. The draws are still high though. However, if we look at the last 10 H2H's, Leverkusen have won 9/10 and drawn 1. This stat, along with the good start Leverkusen have made to the season, make me want to take this match and LTD, which I will do

Hoffenheim's last 12 home matches have produced 4 under 1.5 goals, 4 under 2.5 goals and 8 under 3.5 goals. Leverkusen's last 12 away matches have produced 5 under 1.5 goals, 7 under 2.5 goals and 7 under 2.5 goals. The under 2.5 goal stats suggest that the odds should be 2.18, they are 2.6, so I will back under 2.5 goals. The graded stats for these two teams also suggest there is value backing under 2.5 goals.

Both teams also don't score many goals in the last 15 minutes. 18.75% for Hoffenheim and 26.19% for Leverkusen. This makes the odds around 1.3. Normally with 15 minutes to go the odds are 2.0, so possible to back