Sevilla have won 8/12 home matches, drawn 1 and lost 3
Osasuna have won 3/12 away matches, drawn 1, lost 8
Ture odds:- Sevilla 1.50, draw 12.0, Osasuna 4.0
Graded analysis:- Sevilla have won 9/14 matches, drawn 4 and lost 1. Osasuna have won 0/9 away matches, drawn 3 and lost 6.
True odds:- Sevilla 1.54, draw 3.33, Osasuna 23.2
If we look at the H2H's there have been 6/20 drawn matches, which is 30%, which is slightly above average. However, if we look at H2H's at Sevilla the last 10 matches have produced 7 Sevilla wins and 1 draw and 2 Osasuna wins. Also Sevilla have won the last 4/5, with the other being a draw.
The stats are in Sevilla's favour for this one, but the odds above are a bit mixed. However, I think I will take this match on and LTD because Sevilla have such a good home record with only 1 draw. I will LTD less than 4.5
Over/Unders:- Possible value in backing under 2.5 goals. As only 4/20 H2H's over 2.5 goals and the grades stats suggest 54% for unders.
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