Saturday, 26 October 2013

German Matches

Bayern Vs Hertha

Bayern had 11/12 matches with a 2nd half goal and Hertha had 8/12 with a 2nd half goal. So the odds should be 4.8. Looking at the graded stats Bayern had 9/13 matches with a 2nd half goal and Hertha had 4/4 with a 2nd half goal. So odds should be 6.5

So possible value in laying the HT score if less than 4.5
Hannover Vs Hoffenheim

 Hannover have Won 7/12 home matches, drawn 4 and lost 1
Hoffenheim have Won 3/12 away matches, drawn 3 and lost 6
True odds should be Hannover 1.85, drawn 3.43, Hoffenheim 6.0

Graded stats show Hannover with 6/14 home wins, drawn 7 and lost 1 and Hoffenheim won 2/10 away matches, drawn 4 and lost 4.
True odds should be Hannover 2.38, draw 2.17, Hoffenheim 8.0

No value in LTD, but looks to be value in laying Hoffenheim. Actual odds are 3.2 for them

1st Half Goals:- Hannover 9/12 and Hoffenheim 11/12. Odds should be 6.0

Graded:- Hannover 11/14 and Hoffenheim 9/10. Odds should be 6.36

Value in Laying the HT 0-0 score

Leverkusen Vs Augsburg

Leverkusen have won 9/12 home matches, drawn 2 and lost 1
Augsburg have won 3/12 away matches, drawn 1 and lost 8
True odds should be Leverkusen 1.41, draw 8.0, Augsburg 6.0

Graded stats:- Leverkusen 9/13 home wins, drawn 2 and lost 2 and Augsburg have won 0/9 away matches, drawn 0 and lost 9
True odds should be Leverkusen 1.23, draw 11, Augsburg 11

Value in LTD

1st Half goals:- Leverkusen 12/12 and Augsburg 9/12. So odds should be 8.0

Graded analysis Leverkusen 12/13 and Augsburg 8/9. So odds should be 10.64

Value in laying 0-0 HT score

Overs/Unders:- Value in backing over 2.5 goals

Mainz Vs Braunschweig

No value in the match market odds

2nd Half goals:- Mainz 9/12 and Braunschweig 4/4/ So odds should be 8.0

Graded analysis:- Mainz 8/12 and Braunschweig 1/1. So odds should be 7.33

Value in laying the HT score if less than 4.5

Schalke Vs Dortmund

Schalke have won 7/12 home matches, drawn 2 and lost 3
Dortmund have won 7/12 away matches, drawn 3 and lost 2
True odds Schalke 2.67, draw 4.80, Dortmund 2.4

Graded stats:- Schalke have won 3 home matches, drawn 1 and lost 4
Dortmund have won 3 away matches, drawn 2 and lost 1
True odds should be Schalke 3.45, draw 4.76 and Dortmund 2.0

H2H's 3/20 matches have been drawn
Actual odds are Schalke 4.5, draw 4.0, Dortmund 1.87

So bit of value in LTD

2nd Half goals:- Schalke 12/12 and Dortmund 12/12. So odds should be 100

graded analysis: Schalke 8/8 and Dortmund 5/6. So odds should be 12

Value in laying the HT score if less than 4.5

Over/Under:- Values in backing under 3.5 goals

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