Sunday Matches Part 2

Hi Folks

Here are my thoughts on the 4pm Premiership matches today

Spurs Vs Stoke

Spurs last 18 matches have yielded W9D4L5. They have scored in 12/18 and conceded in 11/18. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 24 goals
Stoke's last 18 matches have yielded W5D6L7. They have scored in 10/18 and conceded in 12/18. They have scored 18 goals and conceded 26 goals
Spurs last 6 matches have seen only 1 loss and 3 wins
Stoke's last 6 matches have seen only 2 wins and 2 losses

Spurs do not have a great home record and have only 1 win in the last 6 at home
However, stoke have the worst away record in the league

Spurs record for the last 12 home matches is W6D3L3. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 7/12. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 14 goals.
Stoke's away record for the last 12 matches is W2D4L6. They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 9/12. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 22 goals

The last 10 H2H's have yielded 2 draw and 5 spurs wins and 3 stoke wins
At spurs there have been 2 draws in the last 5 and 2 spurs wins and 1 stoke win. The last 2 at spurs were draws

The graded analysis for Spurs is W10D4L1. They have scored in 13/15 and conceded in 4/15. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 4
The graded analysis for Stoke is W1D5L5. They have scored in 5/11 and conceded in 7/11. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 15.

Spurs have been good on their travels this year but their home form has not been great, they have only scored 8 goals in 9 home games this season. That being said the stats are in their favour and Stoke have not got a great record away and against spurs. However, there is no value backing spurs and there is no value LTD.

There is value in laying the HT score as both teams score in the second half 83% and 83% respectively.

There is no value in the over/under market

Chelsea Vs Liverpool

Chelsea's last 18 matches have yielded W11D4L3. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 12/18. They have scored 33 goals and conceded 18 goals
Liverpool's last 18 matches have yielded W11D3L4. They have scored in 16/18 and conceded in 13/18. They have scored 43 goals and conceded 21 goals.
Chelsea have only lost 1 of their last 6 matches and won 4
Liverpool have only lost 2 of their last 6 matches and won 4
Chelsea have the 2nd best home record in the league this season
Chelsea at home in the last 12 matches have W10D2L0. They have scored in 12/12 and conceded 8/12. They have scored 26 goals and conceded 10 goals
Liverpool away in the last 12 matches have W5D4L3. They have scored in 10/12 and conceded 8/12. They have scored 27 goals and conceded 16 goals

If we look at the last 10 H2H's there have been 2 draws, Chelsea have won 2 and Liverpool have won 6.
At Chelsea there has been 1 draw in the last 5 and Chelsea have won 1. 5/26 matches since 2000 have been draws (19%)

When Mounriho was in charge of Chelsea There was 7 H2H's of which Liverpool only won 1 and that was at Anfield. Chelsea Won all 3 H2H's at Stamford Bridge when Mounriho was in charge.

Graded analysis for Chelsea is W3D3L2. They have scored in 7/8 and conceded in 6/8. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 10 goals
Graded analysis for Liverpool is W2D3L5. They have scored in 8/10 and conceded in 9/10. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 17 goals.

The stats are in Chelsea's favour, apart from the recent H2H's. Chelsea do have an amazing home record, but they are not playing well at the moment and they are certainly not scoring enough goals. However, they are still winning. Liverpool have just had a tough away match at Man City, were they played very well and were unlucky not to claim a point. You wonder how they will react to that defeat. Sturridge and Gerrard are still out.

There is value in LTD.

I will LTD @3.55 and look to exit @7.1

I will also look to lay the HT 0-0 score as both teams have goals in the 1st half