Saturday, 11 January 2014

Everton Vs Norwich

Everton's last 18 matches read W10D6L2. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 11/18 matches. They have scored 30 goals and conceded 17 goals
Norwich last 18 matches read W5D4L9. They have scored in 12/18 and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 30 goals
Everton have won 3 of the last matches, drawing 2 and lost 1
Norwich have won 1 of the last matches, drawing 3 and lost 4 (No wins in last 5)
Everton have the 5th best home record (W6D3L1)
Norwich away form is poor (W2D2L6)
Everton's last 12 home matches reads W8D3L1. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 6/12 matches. They have scored 22 goals and conceded 9 goals.
Norwich last 12 away matches reads W3D2L7. They have scored in 7/12 and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 25 goals

The last 11H2H's read H3D5A3 (45% Draws)
At Everton reads H2D2A1 (Norwich 1 win back in 1993/1994)

Graded analysis for Everton reads W9D4L2. They have scored in 12/15 and conceded in 8/15 matches. They have scored 30 goals and conceded 11 goals.
Graded analysis for Norwich reads W1D4L6. They have scored in 8/11 and conceded in 11/11 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 23 goals.

Everton are the firm favourites here, but with 4 of the last 5 H2H's draws and the LTD @5.2, there is no value. There is no value in laying Everton. There is also value in backing Norwich, but they have only 1 win at Everton in the last 5 and they have only won 2 away all season.. So no trade here.

HT/FT Score:- Both teams have goals in the 1st half of their home and away matches respectively. So I will lay the HT 0-0 score @3.9 for £4.00

Everton scored after around 23mins and I made a profit of £3.80

 

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