Southampton Vs West Brom

Southampton's last 18 matches read W6D5L7. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 24 goals and conceded 22 goals.
West Brom's last 18 matches read W4D8L6. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 26 goals.
Southampton have won 1 of the last 6, drawing 2 and lost 3 (No win in the last 4)
West Brom have won 1 in the last 6, drawing 3 and lost 2 (Undefeated in last 4)
Southampton at home this season have been average (W4D3L3) and no wins in the last 4 (D1L3)
West Brom away this season  have been poor (W1D6L2) and no wins in the last 4 (D2L2)
Southampton's last 12 home matches read W4D4L4. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 8/12 matches. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 16 goals.
West Brom's last 12 away matches read W1D6L5. They have scored in 7/12 and conceded in 10/12 matches. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 20 goals

The last 11H2H's read H3D5A3 (45% Draws)
At Southampton read H2D2A1 (40% Draws)

Graded analysis for Southampton read W3D3L3. They have scored in 7/9 and conceded in 7/9 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 12 goals.
Graded analysis for West Brom read W5D3L5. They have scored in 10/13 and conceded in 11/13 matches. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 22 goals.

No value in LTD. No value in West Brom, laying or backing as odds spots on. But there is value in laying Southampton . The stats are fairly even, but the stats home vs away are in Southampton's favour, but not to the point of 1.93. I have there starting odds as 2.67.

I will lay Southampton @1.83 for £11.60 and look to hedge @3.66

The trade was looking good as it was 0-0 until the 66 minute before Southampton scored.

I lost £9.63 in this trade