Leeds Vs Leicester

Leeds last 18 matches read W7D3L8. They have scored in 14/18 anc conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 29 goals and conceded 29 goals.
Leicester last 18 matches read W12D2L4. They have scored in 16/18 and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 35 goals and conceded 21 goals.
Leeds have only won 1 of the last 6, drawing 2 and lost 3. They have lost the last 3 and no win in the last 5.
Leicester have won 5 of the last 6 and drew 1.
Leeds at home this season W6D3L3. They have scored in 10/12 and conceded in 8/12 matches. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 12 goals. They have won 1 of the last 4 at home. Not won in last 3 (L1D2).
Leicester away this season W7D1L4. They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 14 goals. They have the 2nd best away form in the league. They last 4 away read W2L2.

The last 11H2H's read H2D5A4 (45% Draws)
At Leeds H1D1A3 (20% Draws)
Since 2000/2001 H6D7A8 (33% Draws)
At Leeds H4D2A4 (20% Draws)

Since relegation from the Premiership, Leeds have won 2of the last 7 at home to Leicester and there has only been 1 draw.

The graded analysis for Leeds reads (W5D3L4). They have scored in 9/12 and conceded 8/12 matches. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 15 goals.
The graded analysis for Leicester reads (W3D5L5). They have scored in 11/13 and conceded in 11/13 matches. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 19 goals.

There does appear to be some value in LTD and there is value in backing Leeds. However, Leeds home form against Leciester is not great so I will go with LTD.

I will LTD @3.8 for £9.00. Stop loss if 0-0 will be 1.7. Profit stop will be 7.6

Well the match started well with end to end chances and two posts hit. However, there was not a goal until the 87 minute and by then I had hedged out @1.70 for a loss of £11.12

HT/FT Score:- No Value


Over/Unders 2.5 goals:- Leeds at home this season have 7/12 matches over 2.5 goals and Leicester away this season have 9/12 matches over 2.5 goals. 3/5 H2H's at Leeds have been over 2.5 goals. I have the odds being @1.5-1.67 and the odds are @1.83. So there is value here.

Back Over 2.5 goals @1.81 for £10.08. I will look to hedge if 2 goals in first half or stay in if not

 No win in this one either and a loss of £10.08

So total loss of £21.20