Lyon Vs Marseille

Lyon's last 18 matches read W5D7L6. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 26 goals.
Marseille's last 18 matches read W7D5L6. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 24 goals and conceded 20 goals.
Lyon have won 2 of the last 6, drawing 3 and losing 1. They have no losses in the last 5.
Marseille have won 2 of the last 6, drawing 2 and losing 2. They have no losses in the last 3.
Lyon at home this season read W4D6L1. They are undefeated in the last 4 at home (W1D3)
Marseille away this season read W5D4L2. They have lost 1 in the last 4.
Lyon's last 12 home matches read W5D6L1. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 6/12 matches. They have scored 18 goals and conceded 7 goals.
Marseille's last 12 away matches read W5D4L3. They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 11 goals.

The last 12H2H's read H5D5A2 (42% Draws)
At Lyon H3D3A1 (42% Draws)
Since 2000/2001 H11D13A7 (42% Draws)
At Lyon H6D7A4 (42% Draws)

The graded analysis for Lyon reads W4D2L2. They have scored in 6/8 and conceded in 5/8 matches. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 8 goals.
The graded analysis for Marseille reads W1D3L4. They have scored in 4/8 and conceded in 5/8 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 11 goals.

There is no value in LTD in this one. There is some value in laying Marseille as they have a poor record at Lyon and the graded analysis doesn't look good. However, I would like a slightly lower price.

If Marseille score 1st I will lay them for 2.5% of my bank

Over/Under 2.5 goals:- There is a bit of value in backing under 2.5 goals.

I will back under 2.5 goals @1.86 for £12.10. If an early goal goes in I will lay again for a liability of £12.10. If 2 goals before half time I hedge out for a loss. Profit stop for me is around 1.2

There is a couple of other matches on tonight. I could find no trades in the Ath Bilbao Vs Betis match and there were no good trades in the Osauna Vs Real Madrid match.

Man City Vs Blackburn

I can find no real great trades in this one. I would like to lay the HT 0-0 score, but they starting odds are 5.4, which is too high. If Blackburn can keep it tight I will lay HT 0-0 score @4.0

I have had a cheeky bet again on the correct score. I have backed the 2-0, 3-0 and 3-1. I have also done a bet on the AUQ to reduce my loss just in case there is an early goal. If 0-0 after 20 mins I will put another bet on the AUQ to make a profit. The odds were too low on the AUQ from the start.