Monday, 13 January 2014

Villarreal Vs Sociedad

Villarreal's last 18 matches reads W9D4L5. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 32 goals and conceded 20 goals.
Sociedad's last 18 matches reads W9D5L4. They have scored in 15/18 and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 35 goals and conceded 23 goals
Villarreal have won 2 of the last 6 (1 win in the last 3 with 2 defeats).
Sociedad have won 5 of the last 6 (Won the last 5)
Villarreal at home this season read W4D3L2. They have not won in the last 4, drawing 2 and losing 2.
Sociedad away this season read W3D3L3. They have won the last 2 away.
Villarreal's last 12 home matches read W4D5L3. They have scored in 10/12 and conceded in 11/12 matches.They have scored 18 goals and conceded 14 goals.
Sociedad's last 12 away matches read W5D3L4. They have scored in 10/12 and conceded in 10/12 matches. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 19 goals.

The last 11H2H's read H4D5A2 (45% Draws)
At Villarreal read H1D3A1 (60% Draws)
Since 2000/2001 reads H7D7A5 (37% Draws)
At Villarreal read H3D3L3 (33% Draws)

The graded analysis for Villarreal reads W1D2L2. They have scored in 4/5 and conceded in 4/5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals.
The graded analysis for Sociedad reads W5D5L4. They have scored in 11/14 and conceded in 11/14 matches. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 23 goals.

There is no value in LTD. Villarreal are favourites in this match @2.0 and looking at the stats I can't understand why. The stats are fairly even; there is only 1 point between them in the league. The H2H's at Villarreal are also very even

I will take this one on and lay Villarreal @2.0 for £5.00 and look to exit @4.0. If Villarreal take the lead early, I will look to lay them again.

Well that is why they were @2.0. As I type this the score is 4-0 to Villarreal!!! lol
Shows what I know. I still think it was value though. Villarreal scored early and I layed them again @1.37 for £11.05. Make that 5-0 now!!!! Are they fielding the youth team!!!!

Total loss was £9.39 

HT/FT Score:- There is value in laying the HT 0-0 in this one.

I will lay the HT 0-0 @3.55 for £4.65

The trade worked well and a profit of £4.42 was gained.

So overall a small loss for the night of £2.06 
 

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