Saturday, 11 January 2014

Man Utd Vs Swansea

Man Utd's last 18 matches read W9D3L6. They have scored in 15/18 and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 29 goals and conceded 23 goals
Swansea's last 18 matches read W5D6L7. They have scored in 13/18 and conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 23 goals.
Man Utd have won 4 of the last 6 and lost 2
Swansea have won 0 of the last 6, drawing 3 and losing 3.
Man Utd have been average at home this season W4D2L4
Swansea have been poor away this season W3D2L5
Man Utd's last 12 home matches read W5D2L5. They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 12 goals.
Swansea's last 12 away matches read W4D2L6. They have scored in 7/12 and conceded in 10/12 matches. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 15 goals.

The last 9H2H's read H6D2A1 (Swansea's 1 win was in 1981/1982)
At Old Trafford read H4D0A0

Graded analysis for Man Utd reads W11D1L2. They have scored in 14/14 and conceded in 8/14 matches. They have scored 31 goals and conceded 14 goals
Graded analysis for Swansea reads W1D0L9. They have scored in 3/10 and conceded in 9/10 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 20 goals.

There is value in LTD looking at the stats.

So I will LTD @4.3 for £7.03 and look to hedge out 8.6 

The trade was successful with two Man Utd goals coming in the second half. I made a profit of £6.10

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