Lorient last 18 matches read W8D3L7. They have scored in 12/18 and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 26 goals and conceded 25 goals.
Nantes have only won 2 of the last 6, losing the other 4.
Lorient have won 5 of the last 6, drawing 1.
Nantes at home this season have W5D0L4. They have only won 1 in the last 4.
Lorient away this season have W3D0L7. They have won the last 3 away.
Nantes last 9 home matches read W5D0L4. They have scored in 7/9 and conceded in 5/9 matches. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 7 goals.
Lorient last 12 away matches read W3D0L9. They have scored in 5/12 and conceded in 10/12 matches. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 19 goals.
The last 8H2H's read H3D1A4 (12.5% Draws)
At Nantes H2D1A1 (25% Draws)
The graded analysis for Nantes reads W2D0L3. They have scored in 4/5 and conceded in 3/5 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 5 goals.
The graded analysis for Lorient reads W2D2L11. They have scored in 8/15 and conceded in 14/15 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 27 goals.
Nantes form at home is average, but looking at their form and Lorient's away form you would have Nantes @2.0, or a bit lower, so there is a bit of value backing Nantes. However, they have only won 2 of the last 6. Lorient's form away has been poor, however, they have won the last 3 away, so they are starting to turn the corner. However, looking at the graded analysis they have only won 2 of the last 15 against 'D' graded teams. There is value in LTD as both teams have a low precentage of draws this season. Also the H2H's and graded analysis have a low percentage of draws. However, both teams don't score lots of goals. However, I think I will have a go here and take this on.
I will LTD @3.35 for £9.83. Stop loss will be 1.7 if 0-0 and profit stop will be 6.7
HT/FT Score:- No Value
Overs/Unders:- No Value
The game was end to end but the quality in front of goal was low. I hedged out at 1.7 when it was 0-0 for a loss of £9.54
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