Man City's last 18 matches read W13D2L3. They have scored in 16/18 and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 51 goals and conceded 20 goals
Newcastle have won 3 of the last 6, losing 2 and drawing 1. They have lost the last 2.
Man City have won 5 of the last 6, drawing 1
Newcastle at home this season W5D3L2. They have only lost 1 in the last 4, the last match.
Man City away this season W4D2L4. They are undefeated in last 4. W3D1.
Newcastle's last 12 home matches read W5D3L4. They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 17 goals.
Man City's last 12 away matches read W5D3L4. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 17 goals.
The last 10H2H's read H0D1A9 (10% Draws)
At Newcastle H0D1A4 (20% Draws)
Since 2000/2001 H5D3A16 (12.5% Draws). Newcastle's last win was 2005/2006 season
At Newcastle H4D1A7 (8.3% Draws)
The graded analysis for Newcastle reads W3D1L6. They have scored in 4/10 and conceded in 7/10. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 15 goals.
The graded analysis for Man City reads W3D2L3. They have scored in 6/8 and conceded in 7/18. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 11 goals.
There is value in backing Newcastle or laying City, but for me a lot depends on whether Cabaye plays for Newcastle, he is so key. Newcastle have lost the last 2, but have only lost 1 in the last 4 at home, the last match. City are undefeated in the last 4 away and are starting to click into gear away from home.
There is value in LTD and I think that is what I will do as I don't know whether I can trust Newcastle to win or draw, especially with Colccini injured as well.
I will LTD @4.5 for £6.60. Stop loss 1.7 if 0-0 and profit stop 9.0
HT/FT Score:- No Value
The ltd worked well and I hedged out @8.8 for a profit of £3.06
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