Here are my thoughts on some of the Premiership matches today, I may not have time to get the rest done.
Arsenal Vs Cardiff
Arsenal's last 18 matches read W13D3L2. They have scored in 16/18 matches and conceded in 10/18 matches. They have scored 36 goals and conceded 15 goals.
Cardiff's last 18 matches read W4D6L8. They have scored in 10/18 matches and conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 28 goals.
Arsenal have won 3 of their last 6 matches, with 2 draws and 1 loss.
Cardiff have won 1 of their last 6 matches, with 2 draws and 3 losses.
Arsenal have only lost 1 in their 9 home matches this season.
Cardiff have only won 1 in their 9 away matches this season.
Arsenal's last 12 home matches read W7D4L1. They scored in 10/12 matches and conceded in 6/12 matches. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 8 goals
Cardiff's last 9 away matches read W1D3L5. They scored in 4/9 matches and conceded in 7/9 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 15 goals.
The last 8 H2H's have yielded 6 Arsenal wins and 2 draws. At Arsenal there has been 4/4 wins for Arsenal.
The graded analysis for Arsenal read W11D2L1. They have scored in 14/14 and conceded in 8/14. Scored 37 goals and conceded 11 goals.
Cardiff's graded analysis reads W0D0L1. They have scored in 1/1 and conceded in 1/1.They have scored 1 goals and conceded 4 goals.
You could not get two opposite teams if you tried. There is no value in ltd here. There is some value in laying Arsenal but I just can't trust Cardiff with their poor away form.
There is no value I can find in the overs/unders market
No trades on this one
Crystal Palace Vs Norwich
Crystal Palace's last 18 matches read W5D1L12. They have scored in 9/18 matches and conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 27 goals
Norwich's last 18 matches read W5D3L10. They have scored in 11/18 matches and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 30 goals
Crystal Palace have won 3 of the last 6 and lost 3
Norwich have only won 1 of the last 6 and lost 3
Crystal Palace's last 9 home matches read W3D1L5. They have scored in 4/9 matches and conceded in 6/9 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 13 goals
Norwich's last 12 matches away read W3D1L8. They have scored in 7/12 matches and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 27 goals
The last 11 H2H's have yielded 6 Crystal Palace wins and 3 draws and 2 Norwich wins
The last 5 at Crystal Palace have yielded 3 Crystal Palace wins, 2 draws and no Norwich wins
There have been 7/21 draws in H2H's since 2000 (33%)
Crystal Palace's graded analysis reads W0D0L2. They have scored in 1/2 matches and conceded in 2/2 matches. They have scored 1 goal and conceded 6 goals.
Norwich's graded analysis reads W3D6L3. They have scored in 7/12 matches and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 12 goals and concede 12 goals.
There is value in laying the draw here, but the H2H's and both teams lack of goals makes me doubt this. Pulis, since taking over, has made Crystal Palace harder to beat and this maybe a stalemate. The H2H's suggest Crystal Palace are a bit of a bogey side as Norwich have not won at Crystal Palace in the last 5 H2H's. However, there appears to be no value in laying Norwich.
There is no value in the over/unders market
No Trades in this one
Fulham Vs West Ham
Fulham's last 18 matches read W4D1L13. They have scored in 12/18 matches and conceded in 16/18 matches. They have scored 18 goals and conceded 41 goals
West Ham's last 18 matches read W2D6L10. They have scored in 9/18 matches and conceded in 11/18 matches. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 28 goals
Fulham have won 2 of their last 6 matches and lost 4.
West Ham are without a win in their last 6 with 4 losses
Fulham have the joint worst home record in the league
West Ham away have 1 win in 9 this season.
Fulham's last 12 home matches read W2D1L9. They have scored in 11/12 matches and conceded in 10/12 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 25 goals
West Ham's last 12 away read W1D4L7. They have scored in 6/12 matches and conceded in 8/12 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 17 goals
The last 11 H2H's there have been 2 Fulham wins, 2 draws and 7 West Ham wins. At Fulham there has been 2 Fulham wins, 0 Draws and 3 West Ham wins
There have been 6 draws in 21 matches since 2001 (29%). Since 2001 Fulham have only won 2 in the last 10 matches against West Ham at home.
The graded analysis for Fulham reads W7D3L3. They have scored in 12/13 matches and conceded in 10/13 matches. They have scored 32 goals and conceded 17 goals.
West Ham's graded analysis reads W1D2L5. They have scored in 4/8 matches and conceded in 5/8 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 14 goals.
There is actually value in LTD but the favourites odds are not low enough for me. There is some value in backing West Ham, but I don't trust them with there lack of goals, strikers and the fact that they have no defenders, suggest that they will concede.
This match could go either way. There maybe a bit of value in backing over 2.5 goals.
So I might do a small back on that one
I will back over 2.5 goals @1.8 for £10
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