Stoke Vs Liverpool

Stoke's last 18 matches read W4D7L7. They have scored in 10/18 and conceded in 12/18 matches. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 28 goals.
Liverpool's last 18 matches read W10D3L5. They have scored in 16/18 and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 44 goals and conceded 23 goals.
Stoke have won 2 of the last 6, drawing 2 and losing 2. They have had no wins in the last 3 (L2D1)
Liverpool have won 4 of the last 6, losing 2. They have only 1 win in the last 3 (W1L2).
Stoke at home this season W4D5L1. They are undefeated in the last 4 at home (W2D2)
Liverpool away this season W3D3L4. They have only won  of the last 4 away. lost 3.
Stoke's last 12 home matches read WW5D5L2. They have scored in 8/12 and conceded in 7/12 matches. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 9 goals.
Liverpool's last 12 away matches read W5D3L4. They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 28 goals and conceded 18 goals.

The last 11H2H's read H3D5A3 (45% Draws)
At Stoke H3D2A0 (40% Draws)

The graded analysis for stoke reads W4D4L1. They have scored in 8/9 and conceded in 7/9 matches. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 8 goals.
The graded analysis for liverpool reads W4D3L7. They have scored in 8/14 and conceded in 12/14 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 21 goals.

There is no value in LTD for this one. There is value in backing Stoke or laying Liverpool. There has been quite a few draws in the H2H's and Liverpool have not got a good record against Stoke. They have no wins in the last 5 at Stoke. Stoke have only lost 1 at home this season and Liverpool's away form is not great.

I will lay Liverpool @1.54 for £13.86 and look to hedge @3.1

HT/FT Score:- No Value

When Liverpool took an early lead I Layed them again @1.2 for £35.61. It wasn't looking good when stoke made another mistake and Liverpool went 2-0 up. However, amazingly stoke scored 2 goals in the space of 5 minutes just before half time. I hedged out of my second trade to leave a small profit of £2.04 on Liverpool and around £30 on the draw and stoke. Unfortunately stoke kept making mistakes in the second half and Liverpool won 5-3. So an overall profit on this one of £2.04