Tuesday, 7 January 2014

Sunderland vs Man utd

Sunderland's last 18 matches read W3D4L11. They have scored in 10/18 matches and conceded in 13/18 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 31 goals.
Man utd's last 18 matches read W9D3L2. They have scored in 15/18 matches and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 29 goals and conceded 23 goals. 
Sunderland have 1 win in their last 6, drawing 3 and losing 2.
Man utd have 4 wins in their last 6, drawing 0 and losing 2.
Sunderland have the worst hone record in the league
Man utd have the 3rd best away record. 
Sunderland's last 12 home matches read W2D3L7. They have scored in 9/12 and conceded in 10/12. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 19 goals.
Man utd's last 12 away matches read W6D4L2. They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 10/12. They have scored 27 goals and conceded 20 goals. 

The last 11H2H's read H0D2A9
At Sunderland H0D1A5
Since 2000/2001 season there have been 4 draws in 21 matches (19%) and Sunderland have not won a match. 

Graded analysis for sunderland reads W3D0L9. They have scored in 9/12 matches and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 19 goals. 
Man utd's graded analysis reads W11D2L2. They have scored in 13/15 matches and conceded in 10/15 matches. They have scored 34 goals and  conceded 16 goals

There is value in LTD so I will LTD @4.0 for £7.75

There is also done value in laying the HT 0-0 score. As there had been a goal in the 1st half in 9/12 sunderland home matches and a goal in the 1st half of 11/12 man utd away matches. The odds should be 6.0 and they are 3.3

So I will lay the HT 0-0 score @3.3 for £5.

The LTD was successful despite the wrong team winning. I hedged out @8.0 for a profit of £3.68

The lay the HT 0-0 score trade also won, just, with Sunderland scoring in the last minute of the 1st half!!!!!!!

I then reinvested £5 of my profit by laying Sunderland with 5 minutes to go. I did this based on the H2H's really. Howevere, it was not succesful and I lost £5

So overall for the match I made a profit of £3.43

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