Monday 20 January 2014

West Brom Vs Everton

West Brom last 18 reads W4D8L6. They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 14/18 matches. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 25 goals.
Everton last 18 reads W11D5L2. They have scored in 15/18 and conceded in 11/18 matches. They have scored 32 goals and conceded 17 goals.
West Brom have won 1 of the last 6, drawing 3 and losing 2.
Everton have won 4 of the last 6, drawing 1 and losing 1.
West Brom at home this season reads W3D3L1. They have only won 1 in the last 4 at home (W1D1L2)
Everton away this season reads W4D5L1. They are undefeated in last 4 (D1W1D1W1)
West Brom's last 12 home matches reads W3D4L5. They have scored in 9/12 matches and conceded in 9/12 matches. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 20 goals.
Everton's last 12 away matches reads W4D6L2. They have scored in9/12 and conceded 7/12 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 12 goals.

The last 11H2H's reads H4D2A5 (18% Draws)
At West Brom H3D0A2
Since 2002/2003 reads H5D2A8 (13% Draws)
At West Brom H4D0A3

The graded analysis for West Brom reads W3D2L4. They have scored in 5/9 and conceded in 5/9 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals
The graded analysis for Everton reads W7D6L3. They have scored in 14/16 and conceded in 12/16 matches. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 16 goals.

There are quite a few draws this season for West Brom at home and Everton away. There is no value in LTD, although the H2H record looks good for LTD. There is no value in backing West Brom. There is a bit of value laying Everton, but I can't with their current form. They have won 4 of the last 6 and are undefeated in the last 4 away. West Brom have only 1 win in the last 6 and 1 win in the last 4 at home, so I can;t trust them.

HT/FT Score:- West Brom have had a 2nd half goal in 12/12 home matches and Everton have had a 2nd half goal in 9/12 matches. That is 87.5%, which puts the odds for a 2nd half goal @8.0

So if the HT score can be layed @5.0 or less I will take it on and lay for £4.78

There is a bit of value in backing under 2.5 goals; however, with West Brom in a bit of turmoil and this being the first match with the new manager, I will leave this alone

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