Saturday, 8 March 2014

Arsenal Vs Everton

Arsenal Vs Everton

Arsenal's last 18 matches reads (W10D4L4). They have scored in 14/18 and conceded in 9/18. They have scored 30 goals and conceded 19 goals.
Everton' last 18 matches reads (W8D6L4). They have scored in 12/18 and conceded in 12/18. They have scored 24 goals and conceded 17 goals.
Arsenal have won 2 of their last 6 matches and drew 2 and lost 2. 1 Win in the last 4
Everton have won 2 of their last 6 matches and drew 1 and lost 3. 2 Wins the last 4.
Arsenal's last 12 home matches read (W9D3L0). They have scored in 10/12 and conceded in 4/12. They have scored 24 goals and conceded 4 goals.
Arsenal have the 4th best home record in the league
Everton's last 12 away matches reads (W4D4L4). They have scored in 10/12 and conceded in 9/12. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 15 goals.
Arsenal have won 3 of the last 4 at home and drew 1
Everton have won 0 of the last 4 away and have drew 1. Lost the last 3 away

Last 11H2H's reads H6D5A0  (45% Draws)
At Arsenal reads H3D3A0 (50% Draws)

Since 2000/2001 reads H18D7A4 (24% Draws)
At Arsenal reads H11D4A0 (27% Draws)

The graded analysis for Arsenal (W7D3L0). They have scored in 9/10 and conceded in 5/10. They have scored 27 goals and conceded 10 goals.
The graded analysis for Everton (W1D4L6). They have scored in 7/11 and conceded in 9/11. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 18 goals

Looking at the odds, there is no Value in LTD on current form or indeed looking at the H2H's. There is a bit of value in backing Arsenal or laying Everton and there is a small bit of value backing the draw on current form and lots of value backing the draw if you look at the current H2H's

Arsenal will not want a replay with the fixtures they have coming up including the second leg of the champions league. Everton I think would be happy to take a draw and head back to Goodison. I think I will back the draw if Jagelka plays, but if he is still injured I will back Arsenal.

I will back Arsenal @2.04 for £10.30 if Jagelka does not play.
I will back the draw @3.7 for £10.30 if Jagelka does play

I will also look to lay the HT score if less than 4.5 




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