West Brom Vs Man Utd

West Brom Vs Man Utd

West Brom's last 18 matches read (W2D9L7). They have scored in 15/18 and conceded in 16/18. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 29 goals.
Man Utd's last 18 matches read (W9D4L5). They have scored in 15/18 and conceded in 11/18. They have scored 29 goals and conceded 19 goals.
West Brom have won 0 of their last 6 matches and have drew 4 and lost 2.
Man Utd have won 2 of their last 6 matches and have drew 2 and lost 2.
West Brom last 12 at home reads (W3D7L2). They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 9/12. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 13 goals.
Man Utd last 12 away reads (W6D3L3). They have scored in 11/12 and conceded in 8/12. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 17 goals.
Man Utd have the 4th best away record in the league
West Brom at home in the last 4 have drew all 4.
Man Utd away in the last 4 have W1D1L2.

The last 11H2H's reads H1D2A8  (18% Draw)
At West Brom reads H0D1A4 (20% Draw)

Since 2002/2003 H2H's reads H1D3A11 (20% Draw)
At West Brom read H0D1A6 (14% Draw)

The graded analysis for West Brom reads (W2D4L4). They have scored in 9/10 and conceded in 8/10. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 18 goals.
The graded analysis for Man Utd reads (W11D3L2). They have scored in 15/16 and conceded in 8/16. They have scored 34 goals and conceded 16 goals.

The H2H's do not look good for West Brom and the New manager is still without a win since taking over. West Brom have only won 3 at home all season, with 7 draws. They are undeafeated in the last 6 home matches. However, that does not tell the whole story; 5 of them were draws and 1 win. There is value in backing West Brom, but there is no way I can with their current record and the H2H record. Saying that I cannot back Man Utd either as I think 1.88 is far too short, although their H2H record is very good and they have the 4th best away record in the league.

I am caught in two minds here as the draw odds do look too high when looking at the last 12 home matches vs the last 12 away matches. However, they look good when looking at the H2H's. Man Utd have had a nice break since the defeat in Europe and will be keen to get back to winning ways. Van Persie is fit and I think Man Utd will want to bounce back after Europe. Also Anelka starts his 5 match ban today, and he can be a useful player, even though he is getting older. I think I will take a risk on this one and LTD.

I will LTD @3.75 for £7.49. Exit odds will be @7.5. Stop loss will be @1.7

I will also Lay the HT 0-0 @3.1 for £4.90
I will also look to lay the HT score if less than 4.5