Norwich Vs Sunderland

Well tonight's Monday night football is Norwich Vs Sunderland.

Looking at the spreadsheet, this is a fairly even game, with a success rate of 54% for the home team. This equates to a 39% chance of Norwich winning, 30% chance of the draw and a 31% chance of Sunderland win.
The goal expectancy for this match is 2.48.
The % chance of 0 goals is 9.94%
The % chance of the home team to score 1st is 47.8%.

Now lets look at some stats.


The last 5 games have been as follows:-
Norwich have won 1 out of 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7, with no clean sheets. Norwich have failed to score in 1 game and have lost 2 matches. 40% of their games have been over 2.5 goals and 60% under 2.5 goals. Sunderland have had 1 win in the last 5, scoring 6 goals and conceding 4, with 2 clean sheets. Sunderland have failed to score in 2 of their matches and have lost 2 matches.


Both teams have been involved in only 1 0-0 this season, out of 10 matches.


Home form vs Away form in the last 9 matches. Norwich have scored in 8 out of their last 9 home matches. They have won 4 out of 9 and only lost 1 at home in the last 9. They have only kept 1 clean sheet and have scored 10 goals.


Sunderland have had 2 wins in their last 9 away matches, they have scored in 4 of the matches and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 8 in the 9 matches and conceded 14 goals in 9 away matches.


H2H's


In the last 10 meetings between the teams in the league there has been 5 Norwich wins and 3 Sunderland wins and 2 draws. At Norwich there has been 3 Norwich wins and 2 draws, Sunderland have not won.


In the 10 matches there has been 8 matches under 2.5 goals and at Norwich there has been 3 out of 5 under 2.5 goals.


The odds for the teams here are even, so we only need a goal to benefit from laying the draw. Considering the stats, I think we will get 1 goal. Also looking at the over/under 2.5 goals stats, particularly with respect to the H2H's I think laying over 2.5 goals could be a good trade.


Happy Trading

UPDATE:- Well the game went as planned. I laid over 2.5 goals for the 1st 20 minutes of the match and hedged out for a nice 35% ROI. I also laid the draw and made a 16% ROI.